|

USD/JPY retreats from highs, still manages to hold above 112.00 mark

The USD/JPY pair surrendered majority of its early gains to mid-112.00s and has now retreated to the lower end of Asian session trading range. 

The pair did recover Friday's N. Korean headlines-led sharp drop and was being supported by weaker than expected Japanese flash manufacturing PMI for September. 

The modest up-move, however, seemed losing steam after the Japanese government, in its monthly economic assessment, said that the economy is still on moderate recovery path. 

This coupled with new setbacks for the US health care bill - to repeal and replace the Obamacare health insurance program, further collaborated towards keeping a lid on the pair's up-move. 

   •  GOP leaders circulating proposals to cut the corporate tax rate to 20%

Investors now look forward to the Japanese PM Shinzō Abe's likely news conference at 0900GMT, where he is anticipated to order a 2-trillion yen stimulus package to increase spending on child care and education. 

   •  Japan’s PM Abe to hold news conference at 0900 GMT - RTRS

Technical levels to watch

Bulls would be disheartened if the pair fails to defend the 112.00 handle, below which the slide could get extended towards 111.55 intermediate horizontal support en-route the 111.10-111.00 region.

On the upside, sustained move beyond mid-112.00s has the potential to continue lifting the pair towards 112.70 level ahead of the 113.00 handle.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.