|

USD/JPY refreshes 34-year highs above 153.00 following US PPI data

  • USD/JPY edges up to 153.22, lifted by inflation reports and rising DXY.
  • US PPI data indicates slower inflation growth yet fails to dampen the bullish momentum for the US Dollar.
  • Fed officials express disappointment in inflation trends, highlighting ongoing economic challenges.

The USD/JPY climbed during the North American session and remains above the 153.00 figure despite Japanese authorities jawboning on excessive Japanese Yen (JPY) movements. Further data from the United States (US) depicts inflation is stickier than expected, putting pressure on the Federal Reserve. At the time of writing, the major trade at 153.22, up 0.05%.

Despite Japanese interventions warnings, USD/JPY edges higher as stickier US inflation data fuels USD strength

The Greenback is strengthening across the board, as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rises to its highest level since November 2023. The DXY is up at 105.51, shy of testing the next resistance seen at 106.06. Wednesday’s inflation report sponsored the buck’s reaction. Meanwhile, the recently revealed Producer Price Index (PPI) was softer compared to CPI, though it failed to weigh on the US Dollar.

The US Department of Labor revealed that PPI in March slowed more than expected, coming at 0.2% MoM, below estimates of 0.3%. Annually-based figures witnessed the PPI rising by 2.1%, lower than projected by surpassing February’s 1.6%, while the core PPI stood at 2.4%, also above estimates and the previous month's data.

Given that US economic data suggests that the Federal Reserve’s job is not done, further US Dollar strength is seen, in the near term. Also, US Treasury yields on Wednesday, climbed more than 20 basis points along the whole yield curve, boosting the prospects of the American currency.

In the meantime, Federal Reserve officials continued to cross the wires. New York Fed President John Williams commented that recent inflation data has been disappointing, adding that the economic outlook is uncertain. Recently, Richmond’s Fed Thomas Barkin added that the latest inflation data does not increase confidence that disinflation is spreading in the economy, raising the question of whether we (the Fed) are seeing a shift.

On the Japanese front, Finance Minister Suzuki said that authorities wouldn’t rule out any steps to deal with excessive volatility in the Yen. He added, “We are looking with a high sense of urgency.”

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Given the fact the USD/JPY has broken the 153.00 barrier, the next resistance level would be the June 1990 monthly high at 155.78, followed by the April 1990 pivot high at 160.32. On the other hand, the risks of intervention could tumble the pair toward the next key support levels. Firstly, the Tenkan-Sen at 152.05, followed by the Senkou Span A at 150.97, the Kijun-Sen at 149.89, closely followed by the Senkou Span B at 149.59.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price153.27
Today Daily Change0.10
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open153.17
 
Trends
Daily SMA20151.17
Daily SMA50150.06
Daily SMA100147.74
Daily SMA200147.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High153.24
Previous Daily Low151.68
Previous Weekly High151.95
Previous Weekly Low150.81
Previous Monthly High151.97
Previous Monthly Low146.48
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%152.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%152.28
Daily Pivot Point S1152.15
Daily Pivot Point S2151.14
Daily Pivot Point S3150.6
Daily Pivot Point R1153.71
Daily Pivot Point R2154.26
Daily Pivot Point R3155.27

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.