|

USD/JPY refreshes 34-year highs above 153.00 following US PPI data

  • USD/JPY edges up to 153.22, lifted by inflation reports and rising DXY.
  • US PPI data indicates slower inflation growth yet fails to dampen the bullish momentum for the US Dollar.
  • Fed officials express disappointment in inflation trends, highlighting ongoing economic challenges.

The USD/JPY climbed during the North American session and remains above the 153.00 figure despite Japanese authorities jawboning on excessive Japanese Yen (JPY) movements. Further data from the United States (US) depicts inflation is stickier than expected, putting pressure on the Federal Reserve. At the time of writing, the major trade at 153.22, up 0.05%.

Despite Japanese interventions warnings, USD/JPY edges higher as stickier US inflation data fuels USD strength

The Greenback is strengthening across the board, as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rises to its highest level since November 2023. The DXY is up at 105.51, shy of testing the next resistance seen at 106.06. Wednesday’s inflation report sponsored the buck’s reaction. Meanwhile, the recently revealed Producer Price Index (PPI) was softer compared to CPI, though it failed to weigh on the US Dollar.

The US Department of Labor revealed that PPI in March slowed more than expected, coming at 0.2% MoM, below estimates of 0.3%. Annually-based figures witnessed the PPI rising by 2.1%, lower than projected by surpassing February’s 1.6%, while the core PPI stood at 2.4%, also above estimates and the previous month's data.

Given that US economic data suggests that the Federal Reserve’s job is not done, further US Dollar strength is seen, in the near term. Also, US Treasury yields on Wednesday, climbed more than 20 basis points along the whole yield curve, boosting the prospects of the American currency.

In the meantime, Federal Reserve officials continued to cross the wires. New York Fed President John Williams commented that recent inflation data has been disappointing, adding that the economic outlook is uncertain. Recently, Richmond’s Fed Thomas Barkin added that the latest inflation data does not increase confidence that disinflation is spreading in the economy, raising the question of whether we (the Fed) are seeing a shift.

On the Japanese front, Finance Minister Suzuki said that authorities wouldn’t rule out any steps to deal with excessive volatility in the Yen. He added, “We are looking with a high sense of urgency.”

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Given the fact the USD/JPY has broken the 153.00 barrier, the next resistance level would be the June 1990 monthly high at 155.78, followed by the April 1990 pivot high at 160.32. On the other hand, the risks of intervention could tumble the pair toward the next key support levels. Firstly, the Tenkan-Sen at 152.05, followed by the Senkou Span A at 150.97, the Kijun-Sen at 149.89, closely followed by the Senkou Span B at 149.59.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price153.27
Today Daily Change0.10
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open153.17
 
Trends
Daily SMA20151.17
Daily SMA50150.06
Daily SMA100147.74
Daily SMA200147.18
 
Levels
Previous Daily High153.24
Previous Daily Low151.68
Previous Weekly High151.95
Previous Weekly Low150.81
Previous Monthly High151.97
Previous Monthly Low146.48
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%152.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%152.28
Daily Pivot Point S1152.15
Daily Pivot Point S2151.14
Daily Pivot Point S3150.6
Daily Pivot Point R1153.71
Daily Pivot Point R2154.26
Daily Pivot Point R3155.27

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD struggles below 0.7100, lowest since August 4 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD remains depressed below 0.7100 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US bond yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on a Fed rate hike in October. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the currency pair as traders now look to the RBA policy meeting on Tuesday.

USD/JPY climbs back to 157.75 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY attracts some dip-buyers at the start of a new week, reversing part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's relative dovish-leaning tone caps the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further support the pair.

Gold treads water below $4,300

Gold grabs some buying attention and advances marginally at the end of the week, partially retracing the weekly decline, although it is still navigating below the key $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The fresh selling bias on the Greenback and the modest decline in US Treasury yields appear to support the humble advance in the precious metal.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
After the Trump Xi summit, markets are trading three clocks
The summit delivered time, not a deal. Trade, oil and chips now each run to a date, and the macro backdrop matters more than the pageantry. Markets wanted a deal and got a calendar date instead. Xi Jinping left Washington on Friday after tea at the White House and a tour of the National Archives.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.