|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Slips from bull’s radar, symmetrical triangle in focus

  • USD/JPY remains depressed inside a fortnight-old triangle after reversing from one-week high.
  • Convergence of 100-EMA, descending trend line from mid-December guards immediate upside.
  • Sluggish RSI, multiple hurdles to the north challenge buyers.
  • 200-EMA acts as the last defense for bears.

USD/JPY stays pressured around the 130.00 round figure, following a pullback from the one-week high, as the Yen pair traders remain cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy outcome on Wednesday.

Technically, the two-week-long symmetrical triangle restricts the immediate USD/JPY moves.

That said, the pair’s latest weakness could be linked to the failure to cross the downward-sloping resistance line from December 15 and the 100-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around 130.30 by the press time. Also challenging the USD/JPY buyers could be the sluggish RSI (14) line.

It’s worth noting, however, that the pair sellers need to conquer the stated triangle’s support line, around 129.50 at the latest, to retake control. Following that, a slump toward the previous monthly low of 127.21 can’t be ruled out.

Alternatively, the 130.30 resistance confluence restricts immediate USD/JPY upside ahead of the aforementioned triangle’s top line, close to 130.55 as we write.

Should the Yen pair remains firmer past 130.55, the 200-EMA level surrounding 131.75 will act as the last defense of the bears, a break of which may open doors for the quote’s run-up towards the previous monthly high near 134.80.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Pullback expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price130.07
Today Daily Change-0.07
Today Daily Change %-0.05%
Today daily open130.14
 
Trends
Daily SMA20130.33
Daily SMA50133.38
Daily SMA100139.19
Daily SMA200136.79
 
Levels
Previous Daily High130.53
Previous Daily Low129.74
Previous Weekly High131.12
Previous Weekly Low129.02
Previous Monthly High134.78
Previous Monthly Low127.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%130.04
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%130.23
Daily Pivot Point S1129.74
Daily Pivot Point S2129.35
Daily Pivot Point S3128.95
Daily Pivot Point R1130.53
Daily Pivot Point R2130.93
Daily Pivot Point R3131.32

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.