USD/JPY Price Analysis: Renews three-week high but 50-DMA probes bulls

USD/JPY grinds higher around three-week top during two-day uptrend.
Successful break of 130.00 support-confluence join firmer oscillators to favor bulls.
50-DMA challenges immediate upside ahead of January’s peak.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/JPY remains firmer as buyers keep the reins at the highest levels in three weeks during early Monday. In doing so, the Yen pair also justifies the previous day’s upside break of the key 130.00 hurdle, now support, while portraying a two-day uptrend. That said, the Yen pair trades around 132.30 by the press time.

In addition to the upside break of the previous resistance line from late November 2022 and the 21-DMA, bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14), not overbought, also keep the USD/JPY buyers hopeful.

However, the 50-DMA hurdle surrounding 132.70 presently challenges the USD/JPY bulls. Also acting as an upside filter is the previous monthly peak of around 134.80.

It should be noted that a clear upside break of 134.80 could convince buyers to retake control and reverse the downtrend from early November.

On the flip side, the aforementioned resistance-turned-support confluence near the 130.00 psychological magnet puts a floor under the USD/JPY prices.

Following that, an ascending trend line from mid-January will challenge the USD/JPY sellers around 128.20.

If at all the USD/JPY bears manage to conquer the 128.20 support bottom surrounding 127.20 and May 2022 low near 126.35 could probe them before highlighting the 120.00 round figure.

Overall, USD/JPY is likely to extend the latest recovery but a clear upside break of the 50-DMA becomes necessary for the buyer’s welcome.

USD/JPY: Daily chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	132.26
Today Daily Change	1.11
Today Daily Change %	0.85%
Today daily open	131.15

Trends
Daily SMA20	129.86
Daily SMA50	132.81
Daily SMA100	138.79
Daily SMA200	136.79

Levels
Previous Daily High	131.2
Previous Daily Low	128.33
Previous Weekly High	131.2
Previous Weekly Low	128.08
Previous Monthly High	134.78
Previous Monthly Low	127.22
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	130.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	129.42
Daily Pivot Point S1	129.25
Daily Pivot Point S2	127.35
Daily Pivot Point S3	126.38
Daily Pivot Point R1	132.12
Daily Pivot Point R2	133.09
Daily Pivot Point R3	134.99

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

EUR/USD climbs above 1.1600 on US–Iran peace breakthrough

The EUR/USD pair stays firm above 1.1600 in the European session on Monday. The US and Iran have reached a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, which underpins risk sentiment, supporting the Euro against the US Dollar. Now, the main focus this week remains on the Fed policy decision due on Wednesday.

GBP/USD: US-Iran reaches deal supporting advance beyond 20-day EMA

The GBP/USD pair trades 0.35% higher to near 1.3460 during the late Asian trading session. The Cable extends its week-long advance as market sentiment improves further, following the announcement that the United States and Iran have reached a deal.

Gold gains momentum as US, Iran announce a peace deal

Gold price rises to a weekly high during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal rebounds after the United States and Iran had reached a deal to end their conflict, easing concerns about inflation and higher interest rates.

Bitcoin consolidates gains, Ethereum defends support, XRP nears breakout trigger

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple begin the week on a constructive note as the top three cryptocurrencies attempt to extend rebounds after recovering nearly 4%, 2% and 2.6%, respectively. BTC steadies around $65,600, ETH continues to hold firmly above the key $1,700 support, while XRP nears the upper boundary of the falling channel pattern.

President Trump announced that the deal with Iran is complete

President Trump announced that the deal with Iran is complete and he authorises the toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz and removal of the US Naval blockade. While the agreement is made, it is expected to be signed on Friday to take effect. The Forex market looks stable and could react slowly to the positivity around the news as Iran still expresses its mistrust on the US.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.