USD/JPY Price Analysis: Drops back towards 140.80 support confluence amid firmer sentiment in Asia

USD/JPY takes offers to extend the previous day’s retreat from two-week high.
Two-month-old horizontal support zone, key EMA confluence challenge bears.
RSI’s retreat from overbought area, looming bear cross on MACD prod Yen pair buyers.
Risk-on mood weighs on US Dollar ahead of Fed, BoJ announcements

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/JPY remains on the back foot for the second consecutive day, down 0.15% intraday near 141.25 by the press time, as the risk-on mood in Asia weighs on the US Dollar of late. Even so, the key technical supports and cautious mood ahead of this week’s monetary policy meetings of the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) prod the Yen pair sellers.

Also read: S&P500 Futures struggle to justify optimism in China, Hong Kong amid sluggish yields, pre-Fed anxiety

That said, the RSI (14) line’s retreat from the overbought territory joins the impending bear cross on the MACD indicator to also weigh on the USD/JPY price.

However, a two-month-old horizontal support area surrounding the 141.00 round figure restricts the immediate downside of the Yen pair.

Even if the quote drops back below the 141.00 support, a convergence of the 100 and 200 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), around 140.80 at the latest, appears a tough nut to crack for the USD/JPY bears to conquer.

It’s worth mentioning that a fortnight-long rising support line near 140.55 acts as the last defense of the USD/JPY bulls.

On the flip side, the latest peak of 141.95 and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the pair’s June 30 to July 14 downside, near 142.05, can challenge the USD/JPY pair’s recovery moves.

Following that, the July 10 swing high of around 143.00 can test the Yen pair buyers before directing them to the monthly top of near 145.00.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	141.23
Today Daily Change	-0.25
Today Daily Change %	-0.18%
Today daily open	141.48

Trends
Daily SMA20	141.76
Daily SMA50	140.74
Daily SMA100	137.25
Daily SMA200	136.88

Levels
Previous Daily High	141.82
Previous Daily Low	140.74
Previous Weekly High	141.96
Previous Weekly Low	137.68
Previous Monthly High	145.07
Previous Monthly Low	138.43
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	141.15
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	141.41
Daily Pivot Point S1	140.88
Daily Pivot Point S2	140.27
Daily Pivot Point S3	139.8
Daily Pivot Point R1	141.95
Daily Pivot Point R2	142.42
Daily Pivot Point R3	143.02

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3250 as markets assess UK PM Starmer resignation

GBP/USD regains its traction and trades inn positive territory above 1.3250 on Monday, following a drop below 1.3200 with the immediate reaction to UK PM Keir Starmer's resignation announcement.

EUR/USD holds above 1.1450 on improving risk mood

EUR/USD rebounds from session lows and trades virtually unchanged above 1.1450 in the American session on Monday. News of the US and Iran making progress in the latest round of talks help the market mood improve and allow the pair to keep its footing.

Gold clings to gains near $4,200 as tensions in Middle East ease

Gold stays in positive territory ar around $4,200 on Monday, looking to snap a three-day losing streak. News of US and Iran making progress in the latest round of talks seems to be helping the precious metal hold its ground at the beginning of the week.

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation

Iran says it is closing the Strait of Hormuz after accusing the United States (US) and Israel of violating the ceasefire. According to Iran, the decision came over the continued Israeli strikes in Lebanon. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy issued a warning to all vessels: "Do not approach the Strait of Hormuz; otherwise, your security will be jeopardized."

Is Shiba Inu dead or just in a crisis? The data behind SHIB's 95% crash

SHIB, the dog-themed meme coin that became one of the biggest success stories in crypto and turned early buyers into crypto millionaires, is facing tough times. Its price has fallen more than 32% so far this year, and it is down 95% from its all-time high in 2021. Is SHIB simply another fading meme coin, or is the market overlooking a possible recovery story?

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.