|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears dominate near monthly bottom, 106.00 in focus

  • USD/JPY breaks the below the mid-month low near 106.66 to test the lowest levels since June 24.
  • Lows marked in June and May months on the bears’ radars.
  • Bulls have multiple upside barriers to cross before taking control.

USD/JPY stays depressed around 106.50, down 0.34% on a day, during the early Friday. The pair’s latest weakness takes clues from its break of two-week-old horizontal support around 106.60. Also likely to favor the sellers is the pair’s sustained trading under the key SMAs and resistance lines.

As a result, June month’s low of 106.07 and May’s bottom surrounding 106.00 grab the market’s attention during the pair’s further downside.

However, any more declines past-106.00 will be difficult and if portrayed will not hesitate to aim for March 06 trough close to 105.00.

Alternatively, a downward sloping trend line from July 01 and 50-day SMA, respectively around 107.30 and 107.45, guard the pair’s immediate upside.

Other than that, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of February-March downside, at 108.00, followed by a 200-day SMA level of 108.35, will also challenge the optimists trying to confront a descending trend line from February 20, currently near 108.80.

USD/JPY daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price106.51
Today Daily Change-0.36
Today Daily Change %-0.34%
Today daily open106.87
 
Trends
Daily SMA20107.26
Daily SMA50107.47
Daily SMA100107.54
Daily SMA200108.35
 
Levels
Previous Daily High107.23
Previous Daily Low106.71
Previous Weekly High107.44
Previous Weekly Low106.67
Previous Monthly High109.85
Previous Monthly Low106.08
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%106.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%107.03
Daily Pivot Point S1106.64
Daily Pivot Point S2106.42
Daily Pivot Point S3106.13
Daily Pivot Point R1107.16
Daily Pivot Point R2107.45
Daily Pivot Point R3107.68

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks weak below 1.1800

EUR/USD has slipped back under pressure, breaking through the 1.1800 support and drifting towards the weekly lows near 1.1770 ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The move reflects renewed strength in the US Dollar, with steady geopolitical tensions keeping its demand firm. Moving forward, the release of the German labour market report and flash inflation figures should keep European investors entertained on Friday.
 

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

How AI, blockchain, stablecoins are shaping a new global economy – Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire

Artificial Intelligence (AI), blockchain technology and stablecoins are emerging as core pillars of a new global economic system, according to Circle’s CEO, Jeremy Allaire.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.