USD/JPY eyes more gains above 148.00 despite solid Japan Retail Sales data

USD/JPY is expected to deliver decent gains above 148.00 as Fed policy hogs the limelight.
Japan’s Retail Trade data have outperformed their preliminary estimates.
BOJ’s continuation of a dovish stance is hurting the Japanese yen.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

The USD/JPY pair hovers around the immediate hurdle of 147.90 in the early Tokyo session. The asset is struggling to surpass the above-mentioned hurdle from Friday and is expected to surpass the same despite solid Japan Retail Trade data.

The monthly and annual Retail Trade have accelerated to 1.1% and 4.5% vs. the projections of 0.6% and 4.1%, respectively. The Larger Retail Sales have soared to 4.1% against the estimates of 3.6%. Additionally, annual Industrial Production has climbed to 9.8% compared to the consensus of 8.7%.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is displaying signs of volatility contraction in a 110.73-110.85 range as investors have shifted their focus to the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which is due on Wednesday. The risk impulse is extremely upbeat despite a marginal fall in S&P500 futures as the index ended last week with significant gains amid the quarterly result season. The 10-year US Treasury yields have extended to 4.02% as Fed’s policy is shifting into the spotlight.

This week, the Fed is expected to hike its interest rates one more time by 75 basis points (bps) as price pressures have not reflected severe signs of a slowdown. A fourth consecutive 75 bps rate hike will push the interest rates to 3.75-4.00%.

What is hurting the Japanese yen is the ultra-dovish stance taken by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) in its monetary policy action on Friday. Citing external demand shocks and the inability to return to pre-pandemic growth levels responsible, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda kept principle rates unchanged.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	147.82
Today Daily Change	0.21
Today Daily Change %	0.14
Today daily open	147.61

Trends
Daily SMA20	147.05
Daily SMA50	143.88
Daily SMA100	139.68
Daily SMA200	131.18

Levels
Previous Daily High	147.86
Previous Daily Low	145.98
Previous Weekly High	149.71
Previous Weekly Low	145.11
Previous Monthly High	145.9
Previous Monthly Low	138.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	147.14
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	146.7
Daily Pivot Point S1	146.44
Daily Pivot Point S2	145.27
Daily Pivot Point S3	144.56
Daily Pivot Point R1	148.32
Daily Pivot Point R2	149.03
Daily Pivot Point R3	150.2

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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