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USD/JPY clings to gains above mid-105.00s, sustained move beyond 200-DMA awaited

  • USD/JPY regained positive traction on Monday and recovered the previous session’s losses.
  • The risk-on mood undermined the safe-haven JPY and remained supportive of the move up.
  • Rallying US bond yields benefitted the USD and provided an additional boost to the major.

The USD/JPY pair maintained its bid tone through the mid-European session, with bulls still awaiting a sustained move beyond the very important 200-day SMA. The pair was last seen holding above mid-105.00s, up around 0.20% for the day.

Following Friday's pullback from three-month tops, around the 105.75 region, a combination of supporting factors assisted the pair to regain positive traction on the first day of a new week. The prevalent upbeat market mood undermined the safe-haven Japanese yen, while the continuation of the recent rally in the US Treasury bond yields benefitted the US dollar.

The global risk sentiment remained well supported by hopes for a strong economic recovery amid the progress in coronavirus vaccinations and the likelihood for a massive US fiscal spending. In fact, the US Senate approved a budget resolution to fast track President Joe Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief plan to be approved without Republican support.  

Meanwhile, the risk-on flow, along with expectations for a larger government borrowing to fund the stimulus pushed the yield on the benchmark 10-year US bond to the highest level in nearly one year. This helped the USD to reverse Friday's post-NFP losses, which, in turn, inspired bullish traders and was seen as another factor that provided an additional lift to the USD/JPY pair.

It, however, remains to be seen if bulls are able to capitalize on the move or the USD/JPY pair continues with its struggle to find acceptance above the 200-day SMA. In the absence of any major market moving economic releases, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond Friday's swing high, around the 105.75 region, before placing fresh bullish bets.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price105.58
Today Daily Change0.20
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open105.38
 
Trends
Daily SMA20104.21
Daily SMA50103.91
Daily SMA100104.41
Daily SMA200105.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.77
Previous Daily Low105.34
Previous Weekly High105.77
Previous Weekly Low104.61
Previous Monthly High104.94
Previous Monthly Low102.59
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%105.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.6
Daily Pivot Point S1105.22
Daily Pivot Point S2105.06
Daily Pivot Point S3104.79
Daily Pivot Point R1105.66
Daily Pivot Point R2105.93
Daily Pivot Point R3106.09

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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