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USD/INR Technical Analysis: Drops to 1-week lows, eyeing 61.8% Fibo. support

  • RBI's decision to hold rates steady exerts some fresh pressure on USD/INR.
  • Weakness below last week's swing low will pave the way for further losses.

The USD/INR cross added to the previous session's losses and witnessed some follow-through selling for the second consecutive session on Thursday.

The fact that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) surprised market participants and left interest rates unchanged provided a goodish lift to the Indian rupee.

The pair has now moved well within the striking distance of last week's swing lows, a support marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the 70.50-72.37 move.

This is followed by a three-week-old descending trend-line, around the 71.00 handle, which if broken might be seen as a key trigger for bearish traders.

Below the mentioned support, the pair is likely to accelerate the slide further towards testing early-November swing lows support near the 70.50 region.

On the flip side, any attempted recovery is likely to confront some fresh supply near the 71.40 region (50% Fibo.) and remain capped near 200-hour SMA.

Sustained move beyond the latter will negate any near-term bearish bias and assist the pair to make a fresh attempt towards reclaiming the 72.00 handle.

USD/INR 1-hourly chart

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USD/INR

Overview
Today last price71.292
Today Daily Change-0.2025
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open71.4945
 
Trends
Daily SMA2071.6604
Daily SMA5071.2521
Daily SMA10071.0523
Daily SMA20070.2419
 
Levels
Previous Daily High71.98
Previous Daily Low71.4615
Previous Weekly High71.8815
Previous Weekly Low71.2255
Previous Monthly High72.37
Previous Monthly Low70.4975
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%71.6596
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%71.7819
Daily Pivot Point S171.3107
Daily Pivot Point S271.1268
Daily Pivot Point S370.7922
Daily Pivot Point R171.8292
Daily Pivot Point R272.1638
Daily Pivot Point R372.3477

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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