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USD/INR Price News: Brace for sheer volatility ahead of Indian Union Budget/Fed policy

  • USD/INR has come out of the woods ahead of the Indian Union Budget announcement.
  • The USD Index has rebounded as anxiety among investors has soared ahead of the Fed’s monetary policy.
  • Consideration of a lower Fiscal Deficit and higher taxes in the Indian Union Budget could strengthen the Indian rupee.

The USD/INR pair has delivered an upside break of the consolidation formed in a narrow range of 81.66-81.77 in the Asian session. The asset is demonstrating optimism amid a recovery move shown by the US Dollar Index (DXY) after dropping to near 101.70.

Investors are getting anxious ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), therefore, the USD Index is fetching traction. The risk-averse theme is getting popular despite the being widely anticipated that the Fed will hike interest rates by 25 basis points (bps). S&P500 futures have faced immense pressure in the Asian session despite being heavily demanded on Tuesday. The alpha generated by the 10-year US Treasury bonds has dropped to 3.51%.

Apart from the Fed’s monetary policy, the release of the United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment data carries significant importance. According to the consensus, the US economy has generated fresh 170K jobs in January vs. the former release of 235K. Higher interest rates by Fed chair Jerome Powell to tame inflation have trimmed the demand for borrowings by corporate, which has led to a decline in the labor demand.

On the Indian rupee front, investors are awaiting the announcement of the Union Budget FY2023-24 by Indian Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman for fresh impetus. Consideration of lower Fiscal Deficit management and higher taxes by the Indian administration could strengthen the Indian rupee.

Meanwhile, the oil price is looking to extend its recovery above the immediate resistance of $79.50. Soaring expectations for higher oil demand amid a sheer economic recovery in China have strengthened the oil price. It is worth noting that India is one of the leading importers of oil and higher oil prices impact the Indian Rupee.

USD/INR

Overview
Today last price81.7995
Today Daily Change0.0375
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open81.762
 
Trends
Daily SMA2081.6469
Daily SMA5082.0534
Daily SMA10081.8609
Daily SMA20080.2571
 
Levels
Previous Daily High82.0755
Previous Daily Low81.5255
Previous Weekly High81.7795
Previous Weekly Low80.8822
Previous Monthly High83.072
Previous Monthly Low80.8822
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%81.8654
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%81.7356
Daily Pivot Point S181.4999
Daily Pivot Point S281.2377
Daily Pivot Point S380.9499
Daily Pivot Point R182.0499
Daily Pivot Point R282.3377
Daily Pivot Point R382.5999

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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