According to FX Strategists at UOB Group, losses in USD/CNH could accelerate on a break below 6.4240.
24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that the weakness in USD could ‘retest the 6.4240 level before stabilization can be expected’. However, USD traded between 6.4273 and 6.4391 before closing at 6.4350 (+0.10%). The quiet price actions are viewed as part of a consolidation and USD is likely to trade sideways for today, expected to be within a range of 6.4280/6.4480.”
Next 1-3 weeks: “There is not much to add to our update from yesterday (14 Oct, spot at 6.4340). As highlighted, downward momentum is beginning to build but USD has to close below 6.4240 before a sustained decline can be expected (next support is at 6.4100). The chance for USD to close below 6.4240 is quite high as long as it does not move above the ‘strong resistance’ level (currently at 6.4540) within these few days.”
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