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USD/CHF trades in tight range near 0.99 as focus shifts to FOMC

  • US Dollar Index continues to move sideways above 98.
  • US 10-year Treasury bond yield posts small losses on Wednesday.
  • FOMC is widely expected to cut its policy rate by 25 basis points.

The USD/CHF pair, which closed the first two trading days of the week in the negative territory, is moving sideways near the 0.99 on Wednesday as investors are waiting for the announcements that will come out of the 2-day FOMC meeting. As of writing, the pair was virtually unchanged on a daily basis at 0.9902.

Ahead of this crucial event, the market sentiment stays neutral, failing to provide a directional clue to the pair. While the 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down 0.5% on the day, the S&P 500 Futures is up 0.2%, suggesting that Wall Street could start the day modestly higher.

Markets on pause ahead of Fed

According to Rabobank analysts, the FOMC is set to make an "insurance cut" of 25 basis point at the July meeting. "However, we think that a larger cut, more specifically 50 bps, is unlikely. After all, the Fed sees a cut to the target range at this point as an insurance cut, instead of part of a full-blown cutting cycle. This means that they do not think that the economy is falling off a cliff in the near-term,” analysts added.

Ahead of the FOMC, the ADP private-sector employment data from the US will be released as well but is unlikely to have a lasting impact on the markets.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9903
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open0.9902
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9877
Daily SMA500.9906
Daily SMA1000.9988
Daily SMA2000.9979
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9923
Previous Daily Low0.989
Previous Weekly High0.9947
Previous Weekly Low0.9804
Previous Monthly High1.0017
Previous Monthly Low0.9693
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9903
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.991
Daily Pivot Point S10.9887
Daily Pivot Point S20.9872
Daily Pivot Point S30.9854
Daily Pivot Point R10.992
Daily Pivot Point R20.9938
Daily Pivot Point R30.9953

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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