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USD/CHF struggles to retrace its recent losses, hovers around 0.8620

  • USD/CHF could face downward pressure due to the downward US Treasury yields.
  • An improved US balance sheet weighs on the US yields, undermining the US Dollar.
  • Swiss Real Retail Sales and the ZEW Survey may provide cues on Swiss economic health on Wednesday.

USD/CHF attempts to retrace its recent losses, inching higher around 0.8620 during the Asian session on Tuesday. However, the US Dollar (USD) has faced a challenge against the Swiss Franc (CHF) due to the decline in US Treasury yields. The release of an improved US balance sheet has supported prices for US Treasury bonds, which, in turn, puts downward pressure on US yields.

Since October 2023, the decline in US yields has played a role in bolstering the sustainability of the US Treasury. Additionally, enhanced economic growth has resulted in improved tax receipts. The US Treasury Department has recently disclosed its intention to borrow $760 billion in the first quarter, marking a decrease from the initial estimate of $816 billion in October.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) snaps its two-day losing streak, which could be attributed to the risk aversion sentiment on the concern over the escalated tension in the Middle East. US President Joe Biden’s administration is anticipated to authorize military strikes in response to the recent drone attack on a US outpost in Jordan, resulting in the death of three US troops and injuries to at least 24.

Market observers will closely monitor Tuesday's releases of the Housing Price Index and Consumer Confidence figures, seeking additional insights into the market landscape following the scheduled Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement on Wednesday, January 31.

Acknowledging the robust Swiss Franc's impact on inflation containment and challenges faced by domestic companies, SNB President Thomas Jordan expressed uncertainty about the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) stance on the persistent strength of the currency. Attention will be directed towards Wednesday's Real Retail Sales and the ZEW Survey to gauge the overall health of the Swiss economy.

USD/CHF: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price0.8616
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open0.8614
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8585
Daily SMA500.8641
Daily SMA1000.883
Daily SMA2000.8855
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8656
Previous Daily Low0.8607
Previous Weekly High0.8728
Previous Weekly Low0.8607
Previous Monthly High0.8821
Previous Monthly Low0.8333
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8626
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8637
Daily Pivot Point S10.8595
Daily Pivot Point S20.8577
Daily Pivot Point S30.8546
Daily Pivot Point R10.8644
Daily Pivot Point R20.8675
Daily Pivot Point R30.8693

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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