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USD/CHF struggles to gain ground below the mid-0.8800s, eyes on Swiss CPI data

  • USD/CHF edges lower to 0.8830 on the weaker US Dollar on Monday. 
  • The US Manufacturing PMI dropped to 47.8 in February vs. 49.1 prior, below the market consensus. 
  • The signal of slowing inflation in Switzerland could open the door for earlier SNB rate cuts. 
  • Traders will focus on the Swiss CPI inflation data on Monday

The USD/CHF pair struggles to gain ground near 0.8830 after retreating from nearly the 0.8900 mark during the early European trading hours on Monday. The downtick of the pair is backed by the weaker US Dollar (USD) and lower US Treasury bond yields. Market players await the Swiss February Consumer Price Index (CPI) for fresh impetus, which is expected to ease from 1.3% in January to 1.1% in February. 

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) revealed on Friday that the US Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) declined to 47.8 in February from 49.1 in the previous month, weaker than the market expectation of 49.5. 

Boston Federal Reserve (Fed) President Susan Collins and New York’s John Williams stated that the first rate cut will likely be appropriate later this year, while Atlanta’s Raphael Bostic said he expected the easing policy this summer if the economy evolves as he expects. Investors will take more cues from Fed's Chair Jerome Powell's testify on Wednesday, which might offer insight into the inflation outlook and monetary policy. The hawkish remarks from the Fed policymakers might lift the USD and act as a tailwind for the USD/CHF pair. 

On the Swiss front, the annual inflation rate in Switzerland fell unexpectedly in January, which might convince the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to cut rates at its March meeting. The Swiss Federal Statistical Office will release the nation’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for February later on Monday. These data could provide fresh catalysts for the USD/CHF pair. 

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8834
Today Daily Change0.0001
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open0.8833
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8791
Daily SMA500.8656
Daily SMA1000.8757
Daily SMA2000.8832
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8893
Previous Daily Low0.883
Previous Weekly High0.8893
Previous Weekly Low0.8779
Previous Monthly High0.8886
Previous Monthly Low0.8553
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8854
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8869
Daily Pivot Point S10.8811
Daily Pivot Point S20.8789
Daily Pivot Point S30.8748
Daily Pivot Point R10.8874
Daily Pivot Point R20.8915
Daily Pivot Point R30.8936



 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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