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USD/CHF struggles near multi-week low, bears await a break below 0.9160-55 support

  • USD/CHF edged lower for the third successive day and dropped to a near three-week low on Friday.
  • A modest USD weakness was seen as a key factor exerting some downward pressure on the major.
  • The risk-on mood undermined the safe-haven CHF and limited losses amid the year-end thin liquidity.

The USD/CHF pair remained depressed through the first half of the European session and was last seen hovering near a three-week low, around the 0.9170-65 region.

The pair edged lower for the third successive day on Friday and prolonged this week's rejection slide from the 0.9250 resistance zone. The downtick was exclusively sponsored by a modest US dollar weakness, with bears now looking to extend the downward trajectory further below the very important 200-day SMA.

That said, a generally positive tone around the equity markets undermined the safe-haven Swiss franc and extended some support to the USD/CHF pair. The global risk sentiment remained well supported by the recent studies, indicating that Omicron infections are less likely to lead to hospitalization.

Apart from this, the Fed's hawkish outlook acted as a tailwind for the greenback and should further help limit any deeper losses for the USD/CHF pair, at least for now. It is worth recalling that the so-called dot plot indicated that the Fed could hike interest rates at least three times next year.

From a technical perspective, the ongoing slide dragged the USD/CHF pair below support marked by the lower end of a near three-week-old trading range. A subsequent fall below the 0.9160-55 support area will reaffirm the negative bias and pave the way for a further near-term depreciating move.

The divergence between the fundamental backdrop and the technical setup warrants some caution before placing aggressive directional bets. Moreover, the year-end thin liquidity conditions suggest that the USD/CHF pair is more likely to enter a consolidation phase and oscillate in a narrow band on the Christmas Eve.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.917
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open0.9179
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9218
Daily SMA500.9213
Daily SMA1000.9214
Daily SMA2000.9179
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9219
Previous Daily Low0.9176
Previous Weekly High0.9295
Previous Weekly Low0.9175
Previous Monthly High0.9374
Previous Monthly Low0.9088
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9192
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9203
Daily Pivot Point S10.9163
Daily Pivot Point S20.9148
Daily Pivot Point S30.912
Daily Pivot Point R10.9207
Daily Pivot Point R20.9235
Daily Pivot Point R30.9251

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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