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USD/CHF snaps the two-day losing streak above 0.9000 ahead of US PCE data

  • USD/CHF holds the positive ground around 0.9025 on the firmer US Dollar. 
  • The high-for-longer US rate narrative might boost the Greenback against the CHF. 
  • SNB’s Schlegel said the SNB will monitor the FX rate closely and intervene if necessary. 

The USD/CHF pair snaps the two-day losing streak near 0.9025 on Friday during the Asian session. The hawkish comments from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) and strong US economic data boost the US Dollar (USD) and support USD/CHF. However, the upside of the pair might be limited amid the possibility that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) could intervene in the foreign exchange market. 

The Fed governor Christopher Waller said on Wednesday that the US central bank was in no rush to cut interest rates as elevated inflation indicated that the current rates needed more time to work. Meanwhile, Fed Governor Lisa Cook stated on Monday that the path of disinflation has been bumpy, but a cautious approach to further policy shifts can ensure that inflation will return sustainably to the 2% target. The high-for-longer US rate narrative might lift the Greenback and create a tailwind for the pair in the near term. 

On the other hand, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Vice President Martin Schlegel said on Wednesday that the Swiss central bank will monitor the exchange rate closely and intervene in the foreign exchange market as necessary, even though it has no target for the Swiss Franc (CHF) exchange rate. Last week, the SNB surprised the market by cutting its benchmark interest rate for the first time in nine years, which triggered the sell-off in the CHF in previous sessions. The speculation of SNB’s intervention might cap the downside of the CHF against the USD.  

Additionally, the escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East might benefit safe-haven currencies like the Swiss Franc. The Palestinian Red Crescent said that Israeli forces besieged two more Gaza hospitals on Sunday, pinning down medical teams under heavy gunfire.

Later on Friday, the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index will be due. The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge is estimated to remain stable at 2.8% YoY. The market is likely to be mute in light trading on Good Friday.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9021
Today Daily Change0.0005
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open0.9016
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8878
Daily SMA500.8794
Daily SMA1000.8735
Daily SMA2000.8818
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9065
Previous Daily Low0.9
Previous Weekly High0.902
Previous Weekly Low0.8822
Previous Monthly High0.8886
Previous Monthly Low0.8553
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9025
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.904
Daily Pivot Point S10.8989
Daily Pivot Point S20.8962
Daily Pivot Point S30.8924
Daily Pivot Point R10.9054
Daily Pivot Point R20.9092
Daily Pivot Point R30.912


 

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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