|

USD/CHF remains tepid near 0.9050 amid dovish sentiment surrounding the Fed

  • USD/CHF could depreciate as weaker US labor data initiated the discussion over the Fed adopting a less hawkish stance.
  • US Initial Jobless Claims rose to an eight-month high of 231K, surpassing estimates of 210K.
  • The yield on a 10-year Swiss bond dropped to a new monthly low, making Swiss assets less attractive.

USD/CHF hovers around 0.9060 with negative sentiment during the European session on Friday following the weak US labor data released on Thursday. This has initiated a discussion of the Federal Reserve (Fed) switching toward a less hawkish stance regarding the monetary policy, undermining the US Treasury yields and weakening the US Dollar (USD).

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released data indicating that the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits exceeded expectations. Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending May 3 rose to 231,000, surpassing estimates of 210,000 and showing an increase from the previous week's reading of 209,000.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, hovers around 105.20 with 2-year and 10-year US Treasury yields standing at 4.81% and 4.44%, respectively, by the press time.

On the Swiss front, the banks are closed on Friday due to the Ascension Day holiday. The yield on the 10-year Swiss government bond dropped below the 0.7% threshold, nearing a new monthly low, in line with a global decline in bond yields. The lower yields make Swiss assets less attractive to foreign investors, leading to a decrease in demand for the Swiss Franc.

Earlier this week, the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) foreign exchange reserves increased to CHF 720 billion in April from CHF 716 billion in the previous month. This marked the fifth consecutive rise since reaching a near seven-year low of CHF 642 billion in November. The SNB has shifted its focus away from intentionally bolstering the Swiss Franc (CHF), as the central bank has advanced its efforts against inflation.

According to the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs on Tuesday, the seasonally adjusted Swiss Unemployment Rate declined to 2.3% month-on-month in April from 2.4% in March. This marks the lowest level in four months.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9063
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open0.906
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9114
Daily SMA500.9007
Daily SMA1000.8829
Daily SMA2000.8865
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9099
Previous Daily Low0.9056
Previous Weekly High0.9225
Previous Weekly Low0.9006
Previous Monthly High0.9195
Previous Monthly Low0.8998
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9072
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9083
Daily Pivot Point S10.9044
Daily Pivot Point S20.9029
Daily Pivot Point S30.9001
Daily Pivot Point R10.9087
Daily Pivot Point R20.9114
Daily Pivot Point R30.913

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.