|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Range-bound within 0.9150-0.9200 after US jobs report

  • The USD/CHF eyes to finish the week with losses, down 1.03%.
  • Global equity indices record losses on a busy week impacted by economic data and geopolitical news.
  • USD/CHF Technical Outlook: Neutral biased, confirmed by the DMAs with an almost horizontal slope confined to a 15-pip range.

The USD/CHF climbs for the third day in the week, but it would end the week in the red following Monday’s 1% loss, which pushed the USD/CHF below the daily moving averages (DMAs). All that amid a risk-off market mood, portrayed by global equities recording losses, blamed on Ukraine-Russia’s tussles. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9188

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, which reached a new YTD high around 98.992, aimed higher, 0.85%, sitting at 98.62, while US Treasury yields dropped amid a safe-haven bid.

US Labor market crushed expectations, green light for a Fed rate hike

On Friday, the US Department of Labor reported that the US economy added 678K new jobs in February, higher than the 400K foreseen. Also, the Unemployment Rate ticked lower, while average hourly earnings edged slightly down.

Read more: Breaking: US Non-farm Payrolls rises by 678K in February versus median forecast for 400K gain

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/CHF is neutral biased, and one could argue that neutral-downward because the daily moving averages (DMAs) reside above the spot price. However, the almost flat slope and confined to within a 14-pip range keeps traders indecisive on which path to take.

Putting the DMA’s aside, upwards, the USD/CHF first resistance would be 0.9200. Once that level is cleared, the next supply zone would be the 0.9260-75 area and the 0.9300 mark. On the flip side, the 0.9150 February 21 daily low would be the first support, followed by December 31, 2021, daily low at 0.9102.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9188
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open0.9188
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9223
Daily SMA500.9201
Daily SMA1000.9207
Daily SMA2000.9187
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9217
Previous Daily Low0.9179
Previous Weekly High0.9289
Previous Weekly Low0.915
Previous Monthly High0.9297
Previous Monthly Low0.915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9194
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9202
Daily Pivot Point S10.9172
Daily Pivot Point S20.9157
Daily Pivot Point S30.9135
Daily Pivot Point R10.921
Daily Pivot Point R20.9232
Daily Pivot Point R30.9248

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: US Dollar comeback in the makes?

The US Dollar stands victorious at the end of another week, with the EUR/USD pair trading near a four-week low of 1.1742, while the USD retains its strength despite some discouraging American data released at the end of the week. The pair edged higher on Friday, after the United States Supreme Court ruled against President Donald Trump's tariffs, although the advance is not enough to change the latest USD flow.

GBP/USD braces for more pain, as 200-day SMA tested

GBP/USD broke the previous week’s consolidation to the downside, as sellers returned with pomp, smashing the major back toward the levels last seen in late January. The pair tested bids below the 1.3450 barrier as the US Dollar strength largely played out throughout the week, while the Pound Sterling stepped back on expectations of divergent monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of England and the US Federal Reserve.

Gold rises to near $5,100 as Trump’s tariffs boost haven demand, US-Iran talks eyed

Gold price edges higher to near $5,095 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal extends the rally amid US President Donald Trump’s tariff threats and uncertainty, boosting safe-haven flows. 

Week ahead: Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness. Yen and aussie diverge; both pound and euro could recoup their losses.

Broadening drivers of growth: Unpacking GDP and looking ahead

This week’s data delivered a familiar theme with an important twist. The U.S. economy continues to be shaped by powerful forces in high-tech and AI-related investment, but recent releases suggest the growth story may finally be broadening. At the same time, trade flows are moving in a less supportive direction, reminding us that not all parts of the economy are pulling in sync.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.