|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Range-bound within 0.9150-0.9200 after US jobs report

  • The USD/CHF eyes to finish the week with losses, down 1.03%.
  • Global equity indices record losses on a busy week impacted by economic data and geopolitical news.
  • USD/CHF Technical Outlook: Neutral biased, confirmed by the DMAs with an almost horizontal slope confined to a 15-pip range.

The USD/CHF climbs for the third day in the week, but it would end the week in the red following Monday’s 1% loss, which pushed the USD/CHF below the daily moving averages (DMAs). All that amid a risk-off market mood, portrayed by global equities recording losses, blamed on Ukraine-Russia’s tussles. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9188

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, which reached a new YTD high around 98.992, aimed higher, 0.85%, sitting at 98.62, while US Treasury yields dropped amid a safe-haven bid.

US Labor market crushed expectations, green light for a Fed rate hike

On Friday, the US Department of Labor reported that the US economy added 678K new jobs in February, higher than the 400K foreseen. Also, the Unemployment Rate ticked lower, while average hourly earnings edged slightly down.

Read more: Breaking: US Non-farm Payrolls rises by 678K in February versus median forecast for 400K gain

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/CHF is neutral biased, and one could argue that neutral-downward because the daily moving averages (DMAs) reside above the spot price. However, the almost flat slope and confined to within a 14-pip range keeps traders indecisive on which path to take.

Putting the DMA’s aside, upwards, the USD/CHF first resistance would be 0.9200. Once that level is cleared, the next supply zone would be the 0.9260-75 area and the 0.9300 mark. On the flip side, the 0.9150 February 21 daily low would be the first support, followed by December 31, 2021, daily low at 0.9102.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9188
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open0.9188
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9223
Daily SMA500.9201
Daily SMA1000.9207
Daily SMA2000.9187
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9217
Previous Daily Low0.9179
Previous Weekly High0.9289
Previous Weekly Low0.915
Previous Monthly High0.9297
Previous Monthly Low0.915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9194
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9202
Daily Pivot Point S10.9172
Daily Pivot Point S20.9157
Daily Pivot Point S30.9135
Daily Pivot Point R10.921
Daily Pivot Point R20.9232
Daily Pivot Point R30.9248

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.