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USD/CHF keeps the red below 0.9900 mark amid broad-based USD weakness

  • USD/CHF continues losing ground for the second straight day and drops to a three-week low.
  • Reduced bets for more aggressive Fed rate hikes weigh on the USD and exert some pressure.
  • The lack of follow-through selling warrants some caution before positioning for further losses.

The USD/CHF pair remains under some selling pressure for the second successive day on Wednesday and retreats further from its highest level since May 2019 touched last week. The downward trajectory drags spot prices to a three-week low, around the 0.9855 area during the first half of the European session and is sponsored by the heavily offered tone surrounding the US dollar.

In fact, the USD Index, which measures the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, dives to over a one-month low amid reduced expectations for more aggressive policy tightening by the Fed. Investors now expect that the US central bank will be forced to soften its hawkish stance amid signs of a slowdown in the world's largest economy. This is evident from a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which continues to weigh on the greenback and exert downward pressure on the USD/CHF pair.

That said, the recent recovery in the global equity markets undermines the safe-haven Swiss franc and assists the USD/CHF pair to find some support in the vicinity of mid-0.9800s. Furthermore, traders might be reluctant to place aggressive bets and prefer to wait for a less hawkish shift from the US central bank. Hence, the focus will remain glued to the two-day FOMC monetary policy meeting next week, which will play a key role in influencing the USD and provide a fresh directional impetus to the major.

In the meantime, traders on Wednesday will take cues from the release of New Home Sales data from the US, which, along with the US bond yields, will drive the USD demand. Apart from this, the broader market risk sentiment might produce short-term trading opportunities around the USD/CHF pair. The focus, however, will be on Thursday's important US macro data, including the Advance Q2 GDP report. The market attention will then shift to the FOMC meeting and the closely-watched US NFP report next week.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9895
Today Daily Change-0.0055
Today Daily Change %-0.55
Today daily open0.995
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9936
Daily SMA500.9792
Daily SMA1000.9725
Daily SMA2000.958
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0032
Previous Daily Low0.994
Previous Weekly High1.0148
Previous Weekly Low0.9919
Previous Monthly High0.9966
Previous Monthly Low0.948
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9975
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9997
Daily Pivot Point S10.9916
Daily Pivot Point S20.9882
Daily Pivot Point S30.9824
Daily Pivot Point R11.0008
Daily Pivot Point R21.0066
Daily Pivot Point R31.01

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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