|

USD/CHF hovers around 0.9050 ahead of SNB Chairman Jordan's speech

  • USD/CHF encounters challenges amid renewed expectations for rate cuts by the Fed in 2024.
  • Fed is anticipated to execute its initial rate cut in September, against the earlier forecasts in November.
  • SNB Chairman Thomas Jordan may offer fresh cues on policy stance during the BIS Innovation Summit 2024.

USD/CHF continues its losing streak for the fourth successive day on Monday, trading around 0.9050 during the European hours. The weaker US Dollar (USD) puts pressure on the USD/CHF pair, which could be attributed to the revived expectations for potential interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) later this year. This sentiment is derived from the softer-than-expected US jobs data released on Friday.

On Friday, US Nonfarm Payrolls data showed that the United States (US) economy added 175,000 new jobs in April, falling short of the estimated 243,000 and indicating a notable deceleration from March's addition of 315,000 jobs. Additionally, Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) rose by 3.9% in April, slightly below the anticipated 4.0% and the 4.1% prior. Meanwhile, monthly growth stood at 0.2%, compared to the expected 0.3%.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to implement its first rate cut in September, diverging from previous forecasts indicating November. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis points (bps) rate reduction by the Fed during September's meeting has increased to 48.8%, up from 43.8% just a week ago.

On the Swiss side, data released on Thursday showed that annual inflation in Switzerland accelerated more rapidly than expected in April. The Swiss Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose to 1.4% year-on-year in April from a previous increase of 1.0% in March, surpassing the market consensus of 1.1%. This unexpected acceleration has lent support to the Swiss Franc (CHF).

Looking ahead to Monday, traders are anticipated to closely monitor a speech by Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan at the SNB's Project Helvetia III during the BIS Innovation Summit 2024 in Basel. Jordan's remarks may offer fresh insights into the economy and policy direction.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9044
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.09
Today daily open0.9052
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9116
Daily SMA500.8986
Daily SMA1000.8811
Daily SMA2000.8858
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9106
Previous Daily Low0.9006
Previous Weekly High0.9225
Previous Weekly Low0.9006
Previous Monthly High0.9195
Previous Monthly Low0.8998
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9045
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9068
Daily Pivot Point S10.9004
Daily Pivot Point S20.8955
Daily Pivot Point S30.8904
Daily Pivot Point R10.9103
Daily Pivot Point R20.9154
Daily Pivot Point R30.9203

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.