|

USD/CHF flirting with 100-DMA support ahead of US data

The USD/CHF pair extended Wednesday's reversal move from 1.0140 level and traded with bearish bias for the second consecutive session.

Persistent greenback weakness has been the key factor that drove the pair back towards 100-day SMA support near the 1.0030 region. Thursday's comments from the US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin failed to provide any details over Trump's proposed tax reforms and diminished prospects of a rate-hike move at the Fed's upcoming meeting in March. 

Fading optimism led by Trump's promised pro-economic policies and uncertainty over the timing of next Fed rate-hike action continued to weigh on the greenback, with the key US Dollar Index now placed at daily lows near 100.70 region.

Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-off mood, as depicted by a sell-off in equity markets, is lending support to the Swiss Franc’s safe-haven appeal and collaborating to the pair’s offered tone. 

With today’s downfall, the pair has now reversed all of its gains recorded during the early part of the week and hence, a follow through selling pressure below weekly lows support near 1.0010 level would turn the pair vulnerable to extend the ongoing reversal move further in the near-term. 

Next on tap would be the US economic docket, featuring the release of new home sales data and Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment index, due in a short while from now.

Technical levels to watch

Follow through weakness below 1.0030 level (100-day SMA) could get extended towards 1.0010 level below which the pair is likely to continue sliding towards 0.9970-60 horizontal support. On the flip side, 1.0060 area might act as immediate resistance, which if cleared could lift the pair back towards 1.0100 handle ahead of multi-week tops resistance near 1.0140 area.

1 Week
Avg Forecast 1.0000
0.0%100.0%67.0%0-10010203040506070809010011000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 67% Bullish
  • 33% Bearish
  • 0% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Month
Avg Forecast 1.0138
100.0%70.0%70.0%070758085909510000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 70% Bullish
  • 0% Bearish
  • 30% Sideways
Bias Bullish
1 Quarter
Avg Forecast 1.0333
100.0%86.0%86.0%08688909294969810000.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.910
  • 86% Bullish
  • 0% Bearish
  • 14% Sideways
Bias Bullish

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recedes to daily lows near 1.1850

EUR/USD keeps its bearish momentum well in place, slipping back to the area of 1.1850 to hit daily lows on Monday. The pair’s continuation of the leg lower comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar in a context of scarce volatility and thin trade conditions due to the inactivity in the US markets.

GBP/USD flat lines near 1.3650 ahead of UK and US data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.3650 on Monday. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important data releases from the UK and the US.

Gold corrects lower, tries to stabilize above $5,000

Gold started the week under bearish pressure and declined to the $4,960 area before staging a modest rebound. As trading volumes remain thin with the US financial markets remaining closed on Presidents' Day holiday, XAU/USD looks to stabilize above $5,000 ahead of this week's key data releases.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.