|

USD/CHF experiences downward pressure on improved sentiment, trades around 0.8430

  • USD/CHF trades lower as the Greenback weakens on improved risk appetite.
  • Lower US bond yields indicate a strong bias toward easing of Fed’s tightening.
  • Swiss Franc gains ground on heightened risk aversion due to Middle East conflict.

USD/CHF receives downward support due to the weaker US Dollar (USD), which could be attributed to the lower US Treasury yields. The market bias toward the Federal Reserve (Fed) to reduce interest rates in the first quarter of 2024 is putting pressure on the US yields. The USD/CHF pair trades lower around 0.8430 during the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar Index (DXY) bids lower near 101.10, with the 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury notes standing lower at 4.26% and 3.84%, respectively, by the press time.

Additionally, softer economic data from the United States (US) could have diminished the strength of the Greenback as it reinforces the market bias toward the Fed’s dovish stance in the upcoming policy meetings. US Initial Jobless Claims rose to 218K for the week ending December 23, exceeding the market's projection of 210K. Additionally, Pending Home Sales (MoM) for November came in flat 0.0% compared to the anticipated growth of 1.0% from the previous decline of 1.2%. The upcoming Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December, is set to be released on Friday. The report is expected to print a reading of 51, lower than the previous 55.8 figures.

The ongoing geopolitical conflict in the Middle East is fueling heightened risk aversion, leading to an increased demand for the safe-haven Swiss Franc (CHF). Concerns linger about the potential closure of the Gibraltar Strait by Iran, adding a layer of caution to the overall situation. Despite this, the return of major shipping firms to the Red Sea suggests a tentative move towards normalization.

ZEW Survey – Expectations fell by 23.7 points in December against the 29.6 decline in November. KOF Leading Indicator is set to be released on Friday, expected to improve from 96.7 to 97.0. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) seems set to take a proactive stance, as outlined in its recent Quarterly Bulletin. The bank has expressed its preparedness to actively intervene in the foreign exchange market to support the Swiss Franc (CHF).

USD/CHF: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price0.8427
Today Daily Change-0.0014
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open0.8441
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8655
Daily SMA500.8819
Daily SMA1000.8888
Daily SMA2000.8907
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8446
Previous Daily Low0.8333
Previous Weekly High0.8712
Previous Weekly Low0.8514
Previous Monthly High0.9113
Previous Monthly Low0.8685
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8403
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8376
Daily Pivot Point S10.8367
Daily Pivot Point S20.8293
Daily Pivot Point S30.8254
Daily Pivot Point R10.848
Daily Pivot Point R20.852
Daily Pivot Point R30.8594

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.