USD/CHF drops below 0.9030 as Fed expects decent softening of US Inflation in 2023


  • USD/CHF has slipped below 0.9030 as Fed policymakers expect a quick softening of US Inflation.
  • S&P500 futures are showing lackluster moves as investors are anxious ahead of the quarterly result season.
  • Switzerland's parliament failed to approve the 109 billion Swiss francs of financial guarantees used to rescue Credit Suisse.

The USD/CHF pair has extended its downside below 0.9030 in the Asian session. The downside in the Swiss Franc asset has stretched as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers are anticipating a decent softening of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) this year.

This has weighed heavily on the US Dollar Index (DXY) as it is declining towards the crucial support of 102.00. The quick softening of US inflation has strengthened the odds of rate cuts by the Fed this year. The commentary from Minneapolis Fed Bank President Neel Kashkari that inflation will be at the middle 3% by end of this year, closer to 2% next year has weakened the appeal for the USD Index.

For current guidance, US inflation (March) data will be keenly watched. Analysts at NBF expect “The energy component may have had a negative impact on the headline index as prices likely fell in both the gasoline and natural gas segment. Expected gains for shelter and used vehicles could still result in a 0.2% monthly increase in headline prices. The core index, for its part, could have increased 0.4% MoM, which would translate into a one-tenth increase in the annual rate to 5.6%.”

Meanwhile, S&P500 futures are showing lackluster moves as investors are anxious ahead of the quarterly result season, portraying mildly positive market sentiment. The street is anticipating a contraction in overall profits to be reported by S&P500 amid higher interest rates and tight credit conditions by US commercial banks.

On the Swiss Franc front, Switzerland's parliament failed to approve the 109 billion Swiss francs ($120.5 billion) of financial guarantees used to rescue Credit Suisse last month, in a first-round vote that was largely symbolic given the state had committed the funds, as reported by Reuters. As Switzerland's upper house had already approved the rescue, the two chambers of the legislative body will vote again on Wednesday.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price 0.9024
Today Daily Change -0.0009
Today Daily Change % -0.10
Today daily open 0.9033
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.9162
Daily SMA50 0.9231
Daily SMA100 0.9267
Daily SMA200 0.9501
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.9098
Previous Daily Low 0.9028
Previous Weekly High 0.9198
Previous Weekly Low 0.9007
Previous Monthly High 0.944
Previous Monthly Low 0.9072
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.9055
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.9071
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.9008
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.8983
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.8938
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.9078
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.9123
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.9148

 

 

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