|

USD/CHF consolidates modest losses below 0.9050

  • Bulls take a breather on quiet Monday and the USD/CHF retreats to the 0.9030 zone.
  • Positive market mood amid debt-ceiling agreement weights on the US Dollar.
  • US NFP and Switzerland GDP data eyed.

The USD/CHF trades for a second consecutive day with losses as interest in the US Dollar wanes due to the US debt-ceiling agreement announced on Sunday. This has fueled a positive market mood which is anathema to the safe-haven Greenback. In addition, as the US celebrates Memorial Day, the low volume in the markets seems to be weighing on the pair . On Tuesday, investors will eye Swiss Q1 GDP data.

Traders eye US NFP and Swiss Q1 GDP data

On Sunday, an announcement was made by US President Joe Biden and Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stating that they have come to an agreement on extending the debt ceiling. The proposal suggests allowing the government to borrow money without increasing the limit, temporarily suspending it until 2025. However, the deal still needs approval from Congress, although officials are optimistic about its passage.

This news had a positive impact on Wall Street futures, and put downward pressure on the US Dollar.

On Tuesday, Swiss Statistics will release Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data from Q1. This is expected to have expanded at a weak annualized rate of 0.6% from its previous 0.8%. 

Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data from the US from May is expected to hint at more pain in the American labor market whose outlook is heavily considered by the Federal Reserve for its monetary policy decisions. In that sense, labor market figures may have an impact on the expectations for the next meeting on June 14 and hence in the US Dollar price dynamics. Other relevant data that will be published this week includes the ISM services index and the ADP employment change data.

Levels to watch

Technically speaking and as per the daily chart, the USD/CHF holds a neutral-to-positive outlook for the short term, as the indicators still remain in positive territory despite losing momentum.

To gain momentum the bulls must retake the 0.9060 area which could potentially pave the way towards the 0.9075 area and then to the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.9133.

On the downside, support levels are seen at the 0.9020 level followed by the psychological mark at 0.9000 and at the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently at the 0.8960 zone. 

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bounces off four-day lows, still below 1.3500

GBP/USD sticks to the bearish tone on Thursday, coming down to the 1.3480 region in the latter part of the NA session. In the meantime, Cable’s weakness comes as investors continue to assess mixed UK data, poor US results, and the persistent uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict.

EUR/USD looks apathetic around 1.1530

EUR/USD reverses Wednesday’s downtick and trades with modest gains in the 1.1530 region following the end of the NA session on Thursday. The pair’s tepid advance comes on the back of the absence of clear direction in the US Dollar despite tensions from the Middle East appear far from alleviated. Later on Friday, investors are expected to monitor the the releases of another revision of GDP figures in the Euroland, US Retail Sales and the preliminary U-Mich gauge.

Gold remains on the defensive below $4,350; downside seems cushioned

Gold trades below $4,350 during the Asian session on Friday and looks to extend the previous day's pullback from the highest level since June 5 as the US-Iran standoff continues to underpin the US Dollar's reserve-currency status. However, reduced bets for an immediate Fed rate hike, amid signs of cooling US inflation, should act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion and help limit deeper losses.

Dogecoin reclaims $0.07 support as whales step in
Dogecoin (DOGE) edges above the daily open, trading above $0.070 as of Thursday. While this uptick offers a positive signal, DOGE continues to trade within a broader bearish context, down approximately 12% from its July peak of $0.079. Still, should the $0.070 support level hold, the mild recovery could gather pace, targeting resistance at $0.080 and potentially the key $0.100 threshold.
Why credit markets aren’t pricing $570B of AI debt

Forecasts put global artificial intelligence related debt issuance near $570 billion this year, with roughly $236 billion of it priced by the end of May at four times the prior year's pace. Data centre securitisation alone has gone from about $4 billion a year through 2022 to roughly $10 billion in each of 2023 and 2024, and then $27 billion in 2025.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.