|

USD/CHF consolidates modest losses below 0.9050

  • Bulls take a breather on quiet Monday and the USD/CHF retreats to the 0.9030 zone.
  • Positive market mood amid debt-ceiling agreement weights on the US Dollar.
  • US NFP and Switzerland GDP data eyed.

The USD/CHF trades for a second consecutive day with losses as interest in the US Dollar wanes due to the US debt-ceiling agreement announced on Sunday. This has fueled a positive market mood which is anathema to the safe-haven Greenback. In addition, as the US celebrates Memorial Day, the low volume in the markets seems to be weighing on the pair . On Tuesday, investors will eye Swiss Q1 GDP data.

Traders eye US NFP and Swiss Q1 GDP data

On Sunday, an announcement was made by US President Joe Biden and Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy stating that they have come to an agreement on extending the debt ceiling. The proposal suggests allowing the government to borrow money without increasing the limit, temporarily suspending it until 2025. However, the deal still needs approval from Congress, although officials are optimistic about its passage.

This news had a positive impact on Wall Street futures, and put downward pressure on the US Dollar.

On Tuesday, Swiss Statistics will release Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data from Q1. This is expected to have expanded at a weak annualized rate of 0.6% from its previous 0.8%. 

Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data from the US from May is expected to hint at more pain in the American labor market whose outlook is heavily considered by the Federal Reserve for its monetary policy decisions. In that sense, labor market figures may have an impact on the expectations for the next meeting on June 14 and hence in the US Dollar price dynamics. Other relevant data that will be published this week includes the ISM services index and the ADP employment change data.

Levels to watch

Technically speaking and as per the daily chart, the USD/CHF holds a neutral-to-positive outlook for the short term, as the indicators still remain in positive territory despite losing momentum.

To gain momentum the bulls must retake the 0.9060 area which could potentially pave the way towards the 0.9075 area and then to the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 0.9133.

On the downside, support levels are seen at the 0.9020 level followed by the psychological mark at 0.9000 and at the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) currently at the 0.8960 zone. 

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD steadies near 1.1650 ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls

EUR/USD holds ground after five days of losses, trading around 1.1650 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders remain cautious ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report, which is expected to offer further insight into labor market conditions and the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. December NFP is forecast to show job gains of 60,000, down from 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD: Further weakness could challenge 1.3400

GBP/USD remains under unabated selling pressure on Thursday, slipping to fresh three-day lows around 1.3415 in response to further improvement in the sentiment surrounding the Greenback ahead of Friday’s key NFP data.

Gold defends $4,450, looks to the crucial US NFP report

Gold struggles to capitalize on the previous day's goodish move up from the vicinity of the $4,400 mark and attracts some sellers while defending $4,450 in the Asian session on Friday. The critical US employment details will offer more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path, which, in turn, will influence the US Dollar price dynamics and provide a fresh impetus to the non-yielding bullion. 

Forecasts for Payrolls are all over the place

Yesterday’s data put the kybosh on the idea the Fed needs to cut rates fairly urgently to protect the labor market. The jobs component of the ISM services index was nicely over 50, and that rising JOLTS voluntary quits rate also points to no real heartache in labor.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

XRP slides as institutional and retail demand falters

Ripple is trading down for the third consecutive day on Thursday amid escalating volatility in the cyrptocurrency market. After peaking at $2.41 on Tuesday, its highest print since November 14 amid the early-year rally, XRP has quickly ran into aggressive profit-taking.