|

USD/CHF coils below 0.9250 on fading Fed’s USD gains

  • USD/CHF trades modestly higher on Friday in the early Asian trading hours. 
  • US Dollar Index trades below one-month highs near 93.00.
  • Risk-on sentiment, the divergence of SNB from its peers weighs on the Swiss franc.

The USD/CHF pair prints minute gains on the last trading day of the week. The pair remained unfazed by the Fed’s policy update and SNB’s interest rate decision and continued to trade in a broader trading range of 0.9210-0.9280 for the previous four sessions. At the time of writing, USD/CHF is trading at 0.9244, up 0.04% for the day.

The movement is primarily sponsored by the intense selling pressure in the greenback in the US session. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the greenback against the basket of six major currencies, fell from a one-month high and traded near 93.00 as investors digested Federal Reserve Open Committee (FOMC) policy update.

The US Federal Reserve kept its short term key rates unchanged in the range of 0% to 0.25% in its recent monetary policy announcement. The Federal Open Market Committee’s  (FOMC) projections pointed at slower economic growth than previously anticipated this year. The US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to grow 5.9% in 2021 compared to a rise of 7% in June. Nevertheless, the forecast for 2023 has been upgraded from a 0.6% projection in June to 1%.

In addition to that, Fed Chair Jerome Powell remained cleared on his stance of delaying the interest rate hike until 2022. He said the timing and pace of tapering could not be taken as a direct signal regarding the timing of interest-rate liftoff.

Furthermore, downbeat US economic data too weighed on the US dollar. The US Initial Jobless Claims rose to 351K on the week ending on September 18 for the second straight week coupled with Markit Purchase Managers Index (PMI) pointed to a slowdown in both services and manufacturing in September.

Meanwhile, the US Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced that they had reached a deal to pay for the US President Joe Biden sweeping social agenda but provided no details on how they would pay for the proposed $3.5 trillion infrastructure bill.

On the other hand, the Swiss franc remains on the back foot on the improved risk sentiment as the market digested China’s property giant Evergrande default risk. China’s central bank injected $17 billion into the financial system amid Evergrande concerns. Meanwhile, the market remained unfazed by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) no show on Thursday. SNB maintained the key sight deposit rate steady at 0.75% as widely expected.

As for now, traders are bracing up for  German IFO Business Climate Data, US Fed Official's speeches, and New Home Sales data to take fresh trading impetus.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9245
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.12
Today daily open0.9256
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9198
Daily SMA500.9168
Daily SMA1000.9123
Daily SMA2000.9098
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9273
Previous Daily Low0.9216
Previous Weekly High0.9325
Previous Weekly Low0.9164
Previous Monthly High0.9242
Previous Monthly Low0.9019
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9251
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9237
Daily Pivot Point S10.9223
Daily Pivot Point S20.9191
Daily Pivot Point S30.9166
Daily Pivot Point R10.9281
Daily Pivot Point R20.9306
Daily Pivot Point R30.9338


 

Author

Rekha Chauhan

Rekha Chauhan

Independent Analyst

Rekha Chauhan has been working as a content writer and research analyst in the forex and equity market domain for over two years.

More from Rekha Chauhan
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).