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USD/CAD prints a fresh weekly low below 1.2320 due to Canada’s high inflation reading

  • The Loonie rises on the back of broad US dollar weakness across the board.
  • The market sentiment is in risk-on mode, as witnessed by the oil-commodity linked CAD.
  • Higher crude oil prices boost the Canadian dollar.
  • Canada’s CPI for September rose by 4.4%, higher than the 4.1% in August.

The USD/CAD slides to fresh weekly lows during the New York session, down 0.24%, trading at 1.2326 at the time of writing. Despite the Federal Reserve bond taper announcement in November’s meeting and higher energy prices, the market sentiment is upbeat, boosted by robust US third-quarter corporate earnings.

The Dow Jones, the S&P 500, and the Nasdaq rise between 0.10% and 0.50%, whereas the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), also known as the “fear index,” slid to 15.7, near the lowest since February 2020, spurring the stocks rally in the week. 

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index, which measures the buck’s performance against a basket of its peers, slumps 0.15%, sits at 93.64. On the contrary, the US 10-year Treasury yield, rises one basis point, is currently at 1.635%, failing to boost the greenback.

High crude oil  prices boost the CAD

Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is rising almost half percent, trading at $82.80 per barrel, weighing on the USD/CAD pair, as depicted by the 0.24% fall.

On the macroeconomic front, the US economic docket featured the EIA Crude Oil Stocks change for the week ending in October the 15. Inventories slump by 0.4 million barrels, spurring a slight jump in WTI prices.

As data published by Statistics Canada, the Canadian economic docket unveiled the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September, which rose by 4.4% from 4.1% in August. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada (BoC) Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 3.7%, higher than the 3.6%.

Analysts at Scotiabank expect eight rate hikes by the end of 2023

According to analysts at Scotiabank, they expect eight Bank of Canada rate hikes by the end of 2023, starting on July 2022. The forecast came after Canada’s inflation was reported, which is the highest reading since February 2003.

USD/CAD KEY ADDITIONAL LEVELS TO WATCH

Overview
Today last price1.2326
Today Daily Change-0.0030
Today Daily Change %-0.24
Today daily open1.2356
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2556
Daily SMA501.2611
Daily SMA1001.2506
Daily SMA2001.2503
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2383
Previous Daily Low1.2312
Previous Weekly High1.2498
Previous Weekly Low1.2337
Previous Monthly High1.2896
Previous Monthly Low1.2494
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2339
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2356
Daily Pivot Point S11.2317
Daily Pivot Point S21.2279
Daily Pivot Point S31.2246
Daily Pivot Point R11.2389
Daily Pivot Point R21.2422
Daily Pivot Point R31.2461

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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