USD/CAD Price Analysis: Recovery remains elusive below 1.3790 hurdle

USD/CAD clings to mild gains after bouncing off short-term key technical supports.
Convergence of 50-SMA, one-month-old ascending trend line restricts immediate downside.
Horizontal area comprising early January lows adds to the downside filters.
Descending resistance line from Friday, bearish MACD signals challenge Loonie pair buyers.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

USD/CAD bulls struggle to keep the latest rebound from a one-week low around 1.3750 during early Tuesday. Even so, the Loonie pair sellers have a tough road on the south before retaking control as the quote consolidates the biggest daily slump in a month.

That said, the pair bounced off early January tops the previous day, as well as portrayed a sustained recovery from the one-month-old ascending support line and the 50-SMA.

However, the bearish MACD signals and the Loonie pair’s inaction raises doubts on the quote’s further upside.

Also challenging the USD/CAD bulls is a downward-sloping resistance line from Friday, close to 1.3790 at the latest.

Even if the quote manages to remain firmer past 1.3790, it needs to remain firmer past the 1.3800 round figure ahead of challenging the monthly high surrounding 1.3860.

On the flip side, a convergence of the 50-SMA and aforementioned support line from the mid-February, around 1.3700 at the latest, appears the short-term key support for the USD/CAD sellers to watch during the quote’s pullback.

Should the quote drops below 1.3700 mark, the horizontal area comprising levels marked since early January, close to 1.3685-80, may gain the USD/CAD bear’s attention as a break of which won’t hesitate to challenge the monthly low marked in the last week around 1.3555.

USD/CAD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	1.3739
Today Daily Change	0.0008
Today Daily Change %	0.06%
Today daily open	1.3731

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.3596
Daily SMA50	1.3483
Daily SMA100	1.3504
Daily SMA200	1.3319

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.3828
Previous Daily Low	1.3677
Previous Weekly High	1.3862
Previous Weekly Low	1.3582
Previous Monthly High	1.3666
Previous Monthly Low	1.3262
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.3735
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.377
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.3663
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.3594
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.3512
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.3814
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.3896
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.3964

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

GBP/USD treads water around 1.3500 as Hormuz risks support USD

After closing the previous week in positive territory, GBP/USD trades with caution around 1.3500 on Monday. The pair faces headwinds from a modest US Dollar rebound as mood sours on persistent uncertainty surrounding the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD steady near 1.1550 as USD selloff pauses

EUR/USD keeps its range near 1.1550 in the second half of the day on Monday, holding the retreat from fresh highs since June 17, touched in reaction to the disappointing US jobs data on Friday. Renewed Middle East tensions lend support to the safe-haven US Dollar, capping the pair's upside attempts despite improved Eurozone sentiment data.

Gold holds firm as Fed rate outlook, Middle East developments remain in focus

Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm on Monday as buyers take a breather following last week’s sharp rally, with the broader market theme still centred on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook and developments in the Middle East. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,333, little changed on the day.

Pi Network: Mild bearish bias caps PI corrective rebound

Pi Network extends losses Monday after a bearish close the previous day, as price remains capped below the $0.1000 psychological threshold. Speculative demand for PI is low, with Open Interest holding above $9 million as broader market sentiment improves. The technical outlook for PI indicates a mild bearish bias as the $0.0961 resistance level remains intact.

US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow

It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.