|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Recovery remains elusive below 1.3520

  • USD/CAD picks up bids to reverse intraday losses, probes two-day downtrend.
  • Multiple moving averages stand tall to challenge recovery moves.
  • MACD, RSI conditions suggest further weakness but 10-week-old support line restricts immediate downside.

USD/CAD licks its wounds during a sluggish Monday morning as the pre-Fed blackout joins the Lunar New Year holidays in China. Even so, the bears remain hopeful as the quote extends the previous day’s pullback from the key moving averages. That said, the Loonie pair reverses the week-start losses near 1.3375 by the press time.

Not only a slew of moving averages but the bearish MACD signals and the mostly steady RSI (14) also keep the USD/CAD sellers hopeful of visiting an upward-sloping support line from November 15, 2022, around 1.3335 at the latest.

It should be noted that the quote’s weakness past 1.3335 could make it vulnerable to dropping toward the September swing high near 1.3205. However, the 200-DMA support of around 1.3195 could challenge the USD/CAD bears afterward.

In a case where the USD/CAD bears keep the reins past 1.3195, the 1.3000 psychological magnet will be in focus.

Alternatively, the 21-DMA guards the pair’s immediate upside around 1.3480 ahead of the convergence of the 50-DMA and the 100-DMA, close to 1.3510-20.

If at all the USD/CAD buyers manage to cross the 1.3520 hurdle, a downward-sloping resistance line from October 13, 2022, near 1.3615, could act as the last defense of the pair sellers.

Overall, USD/CAD remains on the bear’s radar even if the 2.5-month-old support line limits nearby declines.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3377
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.03%
Today daily open1.3381
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3486
Daily SMA501.35
Daily SMA1001.3513
Daily SMA2001.319
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3498
Previous Daily Low1.3378
Previous Weekly High1.3521
Previous Weekly Low1.3351
Previous Monthly High1.3705
Previous Monthly Low1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3423
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3452
Daily Pivot Point S11.334
Daily Pivot Point S21.3299
Daily Pivot Point S31.322
Daily Pivot Point R11.346
Daily Pivot Point R21.3539
Daily Pivot Point R31.358

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong upbeat UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the European session Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US economic calendar will feature preliminary July PMI data later in the day.

EUR/USD holds gains near 1.1400 after strong German, EU PMIs

EUR/USD is holding gains near 1.1400 in European trading on Friday. The Euro draws support from an unexpected increase in the German and Eurozone business PMI readings for July. However, further upside appears limited by escalating conflicts in the Middle East, despite the ECB's hawkish hold decision. The US PMI data are next in focus.

Gold climbs above $4,050 on retreating USD; upside seems limited amid Fed hike bets

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs back above the $4,050 level, hitting a fresh daily high during the first half of the European session amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

Crypto Market Overview: Bitcoin tests 50-day EMA support – Pi Network and Sky lead losses

The broader cryptocurrency market faces headwinds with rising tensions between the US and Iran, pushing Bitcoin down to its 50-day Exponential Moving Average support around $65,135 on Friday. Under pressure, Pi Network and Sky emerge as the worst-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours.

US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.