|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Doji formation on a pullback towards the 200-EMA strengthens loonie

  • Loonie bulls are strengthened on multiple downside filters.
  • The confluence of Doji, 200-EMA, and the lower boundary of ascending triangle has bolstered the signs of weakness.
  • A slippage below 20-EMA has also turned the momentum indicators on the downside.

The USD/CAD pair has witnessed a steep fall in the Asian session after slipping below Monday’s low at 1.2603. The asset is dropping firmly despite the strength in the US dollar index (DXY).

The confluence of Doji candlestick formation after a pullback towards the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2640 and the lower boundary of the ascending triangle on the daily scale after a downside break has raised the odds of a dominant performance by the loonie bulls ahead.

The horizontal resistance of the chart pattern is placed from 20 August 2021 high at 1.2950 while the ascending trendline is plotted from June 2021 low at 1.2007.

A slippage below Monday’s low at 1.2603 has activated the formation of the Doji candlestick pattern. The asset has also tumbled below the 20-EMA at 1.2590, which adds to the downside filters. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has faced resistance near 60.00, which signals that the greenback bulls lack strength.

Should the asset drop below March’s last traded price at 1.2503, loonie bulls will drag the asset towards January’s low at 1.2451, followed by the round level support of 1.2400.

On the flip side, greenback bulls may take the charge if the asset surpass Wednesday’s high at 1.2676, which will send the asset towards March 17 high at 1.2699. A breach of the March 17 high will drive the asset towards the March 16 high at 1.2778.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2577
Today Daily Change-0.0044
Today Daily Change %-0.35
Today daily open1.2621
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.255
Daily SMA501.2656
Daily SMA1001.2685
Daily SMA2001.2627
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2644
Previous Daily Low1.2604
Previous Weekly High1.2676
Previous Weekly Low1.2521
Previous Monthly High1.2901
Previous Monthly Low1.243
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2629
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2619
Daily Pivot Point S11.2602
Daily Pivot Point S21.2582
Daily Pivot Point S31.2561
Daily Pivot Point R11.2642
Daily Pivot Point R21.2663
Daily Pivot Point R31.2683

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold to challenge fresh record highs

Gold prices soared to $4,497 early on Monday, as persistent US Dollar weakness and thinned holiday trading exacerbated the bullish run. The bright metal eases following the release of an upbeat US Q3 GDP reading, as USD finds near-term demand in the American session.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP decline as risk-off sentiment escalates

Bitcoin remains under pressure, trading above the $87,000 support at the time of writing on Tuesday. Selling pressure has continued to weigh on the broader cryptocurrency market since Monday, triggering declines across altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.