|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bulls attacking the upside, eyes towards 1.2500

  • USD/CAD is leaning with a bullish bias from a weekly, daily and hourly perspective. 
  • The bulls are on the verge of a break of the daily H&S neckline. 

USD/CAD has been on the backfoot for the month of October so far and sharply so. However, there appears to be a short of momentum into the bull's hands which is illustrated in the following top-down analysis below:

USD/CAD weekly chart

The weekly chart is showing signs of stability at this juncture and a retest of the old support that would be expected to act as resistance this time around is a high probability. This would equate to a bid from what is looking like the makings of a dynamic supporting trendline into the neckline of the M-formation near 1.2500. Should that hold, then the risks will shift to the downside for a restest of the territory below the dynamic support. 

USD/CAD daily chart

From a daily perspective, we have the makings of a reverse head and shoulders which aligns with the weekly bullish outlook. If the price breaks the neckline resistance, then there will be more resistance expected within the 11 Oct daily candle's range. this could lead to rejection on the first attempt and a restest of the H&S's neckline near to 1.2410 prior to the move into the weekly chart's neckline target near 1.2500.

USD/CAD hourly chart

The hourly chart also represents a bullish bias in that the price has already corrected to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the recent bullish hourly impulse. This is a level where demand could lead to an eventual rally and fresh bullish impulse, in line with the break of the daily H&S neckline. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD sticks to positive bias above 1.1800 as trade jitters undermine USD

The EUR/USD pair builds on the previous day's modest gains and attracts some buyers for the second straight day on Thursday amid a softer US Dollar. Spot prices, however, lack bullish conviction and trade around the 1.1815-1.1820 area during the Asian session, up 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD bounces as soft CPI boosts BoE cut bets

GBP/USD rose 0.42% on Wednesday, recovering toward 1.3600 in a session shaped by softer-than-expected UK inflation data and broad US Dollar weakness. The pair had been consolidating in a tight range between about 1.3450 and 1.3520 for the past few days following the sharp pullback from the late-January high near 1.3870, and Wednesday's move pushed price action back onto the high side of key moving averages.

Gold struggle with $5,200 extends ahead of more US-Iran talks

Gold is replicating the recovery moves seen in Wednesday’s Asian trading early Thursday, as buyers continue to flirt with the $5,200 level. Sustained US Dollar weakness and looming US-Iran talks aid the bright metal’s rebound.  

Michael Saylor unveils Bitcoin-backed "Digital Credit" vision at Strategy World

Strategy CEO Michael Saylor delivered a keynote titled "Digital Credit" on Tuesday at Strategy World, positioning Bitcoin as the foundation of a new financial system built on what he described as "digital capital."

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.