|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bounces off 1.3330 key support ahead of Canada Employment data

  • USD/CAD picks up bids to consolidate the second consecutive weekly loss.
  • Seven-month-old ascending trend line, nearly oversold RSI conditions challenge Loonie pair sellers.
  • Convergence of 100-DMA, 200-DMA appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.

USD/CAD licks its wounds around 1.3360, pausing a three-day downtrend near the lowest levels in a year amid the early hours of Friday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the Loonie pair bounces off an upward-sloping support line from November 2022 ahead of the key Canada employment data. It should be noted that the early week’s surprise rate hike from the Bank of Canada (BoC) joins the latest hawkish comments from BoC’s Deputy Governor Paul Beaudry to keep the Loonie pair sellers hopeful.

Also read: Canada Employment Preview: Forecasts from five major banks, tight labour market

In addition to the pre-data anxiety and failure to break the key support line, the Loonie pair’s latest rebound could also be linked to the nearly oversold conditions of the RSI (14) line.

It’s worth noting, however, that the trend line breakdown on the momentum indicator and the USD/CAD pair’s sustained trading below the key moving averages keep the bears hopeful.

Hence, the pair stays on the seller’s radar unless crossing a convergence of the 100-DMA and 200-DMA, around 1.3515 by the press time. Though, the 1.3400 round figure and the weekly high of near 1.3460 can lure short-term buyers.

On the flip side, a daily closing beneath the aforementioned support line, close to 1.3330 at the latest, could make the USD/CAD pair vulnerable to poking the November 2022 bottom surrounding 1.3225.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Limited recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3361
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.06%
Today daily open1.3369
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3509
Daily SMA501.3495
Daily SMA1001.3517
Daily SMA2001.3512
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3427
Previous Daily Low1.3321
Previous Weekly High1.3651
Previous Weekly Low1.3407
Previous Monthly High1.3655
Previous Monthly Low1.3315
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3361
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3386
Daily Pivot Point S11.3318
Daily Pivot Point S21.3266
Daily Pivot Point S31.3212
Daily Pivot Point R11.3424
Daily Pivot Point R21.3478
Daily Pivot Point R31.3529

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hits eight-month lows below 0.6850 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD stays defensive below 0.6850, hitting an eight-month low in the Asian session on Thursday as the possibility of a steeper Fed rate hike in December helps the US Dollar hold near its highest level since April 2025. Geopolitical uncertainty also supports the safe-haven buck, while the RBA’s cautious, on-hold stance limits the Aussie.

USD/JPY eases from near 160.00 amid looming intervention risks, BoJ hike bets

USD/JPY retreats slightly from an over two-month high as the recent surge back to the 160.00 psychological mark prompted verbal warnings from Japanese authorities and sparked fears of direct FX intervention. Moreover, data showed that Japan’s wholesale inflation picked up again in October, strengthening the case for a BoJ hike in December and lifting the Japanese Yen. However, a bullish US Dollar, bolstered by odds of a jumbo Fed rate hike in December, could cap the pair's downside.



Gold shifts the focus to $3,800 amid stronger US Dollar

Gold comes under heightened downside pressure, retreating for the third consecutive day and approaching the $3,800 region per troy ounce on Thursday. Increasing speculation of a 50-bps rate hike by the Fed in December continues to weigh on the precious metal amid further gains in US Treasury yields.

Top Altcoins Price Forecast: Ripple, Cardano and Solana halt decline amid signs of exhaustion

Top altcoins, Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL), hold steady on Thursday, halting the prevailing decline linked to hot US inflation data and the post-US midterms period.

Nvidia shares crash as Jensen Huang resigns as CEO
Nvidia (NVDA) shares collapsed in Thursday's premarket after longtime CEO and co-founder Jensen Huang resigned as CEO in the face of board scrutiny over several affairs. Nvidia shares have shed 10% at the time of writing as the leading AI chipmaker chose chief financial officer (CFO) Colette Kress as interim CEO.
What the US CPI headline doesn’t tell you about inflation

Brent crude has fallen about a third since mid-October on hopes the Iran war is ending, but diesel, freight and fertiliser costs haven't followed. Those costs reach US consumer prices in stages through 2027 and could keep inflation high after gasoline gets cheaper.