|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: 50-DMA probes immediate downside above 1.3500

  • USD/CAD takes offers after breaking six-week-old ascending trend line support, now resistance.
  • The first bearish MACD signal in a month, RSI retreat suggests further downside.
  • 50-DMA challenges bears targeting ascending support line from August.
  • Bulls need validation from 1.3700 to retake control.

USD/CAD extends the previous day’s bearish move while breaking the short-term key support during early Tuesday. That said, the Loonie pair refreshes intraday low near 1.3545 by the press time.

Not only a downside break of the six-week-old ascending trend line but the biggest bearish MACD signal in a month also favor the USD/CAD sellers. On the same line could be the recently softer RSI (14), not oversold.

As a result, the pair bears are all set to conquer the 50-DMA support of 1.3537, which in turn could direct the south-run towards an upward-sloping support line from August 11, close to 1.3440 by the press time.

In a case where the USD/CAD bears keep the reins past 1.3440, a four-month-long ascending support line, close to 1.3390 at the latest, will act as the last defense of the bulls, a break of which could quickly drag the quote toward the previous monthly low surrounding 1.3225.

Meanwhile, the support-turned-resistance line from mid-November, around 1.3585, challenges the USD/CAD pair’s immediate recovery moves.

Following that, a three-week-long horizontal resistance area near the 1.3700 round figure will be crucial for the bulls, as successful trading beyond the stated hurdle won’t hesitate to cross November’s peak of 1.3808.

USD/CAD: Daily chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.355
Today Daily Change-0.0054
Today Daily Change %-0.40%
Today daily open1.3604
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3593
Daily SMA501.3541
Daily SMA1001.3414
Daily SMA2001.3101
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3604
Previous Daily Low1.3604
Previous Weekly High1.3704
Previous Weekly Low1.3563
Previous Monthly High1.3808
Previous Monthly Low1.3226
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3604
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3604
Daily Pivot Point S11.3604
Daily Pivot Point S21.3604
Daily Pivot Point S31.3604
Daily Pivot Point R11.3604
Daily Pivot Point R21.3604
Daily Pivot Point R31.3604

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold consolidates near $4,000 as recovery remains fragile ahead of Fed decision

Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates modest gains on Monday after last week’s sharp decline pushed the metal to $3,975, its lowest level since August. A pullback in Oil prices offers support as traders react to diplomatic efforts to ease tensions in the Middle East.

Cardano's derivatives and on-chain data confirm bears in control

Cardano extends losses, trading below $0.202 after three consecutive weeks of more than 20% declines since early October. Selling pressure continues to build as weakening derivatives metrics, bearish on-chain signals and a deteriorating technical outlook point to further downside risks. Derivatives data shows a bearish bias for Cardano.

Flight to safety meets a high earnings bar as central bank week begins

Treasuries rallied again, equities are struggling, and central banks and earnings are on the horizon. Last week, US Treasuries rallied for a second consecutive week. This pushed 10s and 30s to 5% and 5.33%, respectively, flattening the curve even as Brent crude rallied about 7% to within striking distance of March peaks at US$119.50, and tech stocks posted a second straight week of losses.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.