|

USD/CAD faces fragile barricades around 1.3300 ahead of US/Canada labor market report

  • USD/CAD has sensed selling pressure around 1.3300 as the focus shifts to labor market data.
  • Contrary to the sell-off in the USD Index, 10-year US Treasury yields have jumped to near 3.96%.
  • As per the estimates, the labor market added fresh 20K employees in June vs. a lay-off of 17.3K payrolls.

The USD/CAD pair has sensed delicate barricades near the round-level resistance of 1.3300 in the early London session. The Loonie asset is expected to remain on tenterhooks as investors have shifted their focus toward the release of the United States and Canada’s Employment data.

S&P500 futures have faced selling pressure in early Europe, portraying bearish market sentiment ahead of corporate earnings. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has dropped sharply to near 103.17 despite an interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its July monetary policy meeting is widely anticipated.

Contrary to the sell-off in the USD Index, 10-year US Treasury yields have jumped to near 3.96%. As per the CME Fedwatch tool, more than 88% chances are in favor of a 25 basis point (bp) interest rate hike to 5.25-5.50%.

Going forward, investors will focus on the United States Employment data. The US Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change report is expected to show fresh additions of 228K in June vs. the former addition of 278K.

On the Canadian Dollar front, investors will also await labor market data, which will release on Friday at 12:30 GMT. As per the estimates, the labor market added fresh 20K employees in June vs. a lay-off of 17.3K payrolls. The Unemployment Rate is expected to increase to 5.3% against the 5.2% released last month. Apart from payroll figures, investors will focus on the Average Hourly Earnings data.

Meanwhile, oil prices are facing marginal pressure around $72.00, however, more upside is still favored as the impact of production cuts announcement by Saudi has not faded yet.

It is worth noting that Canada is the leading exporter of oil to the United States and higher oil prices would support the Canadian Dollar.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3296
Today Daily Change0.0015
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1.3281
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3247
Daily SMA501.3402
Daily SMA1001.3491
Daily SMA2001.3507
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3293
Previous Daily Low1.322
Previous Weekly High1.3285
Previous Weekly Low1.3117
Previous Monthly High1.3585
Previous Monthly Low1.3117
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3265
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3248
Daily Pivot Point S11.3236
Daily Pivot Point S21.3192
Daily Pivot Point S31.3163
Daily Pivot Point R11.3309
Daily Pivot Point R21.3338
Daily Pivot Point R31.3382

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).