|

TASI Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

TASI Index wave technical analysis

Function: Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Navy blue wave 1.

Position: Gray wave 3.

Direction next lower degrees: Navy blue wave 2.

Details: Gray wave 2 appears completed; navy blue wave 1 of 3 is now in progress.

Wave cancel invalid level: 10657.

The TASI INDEX daily chart indicates a developing bullish trend, unfolding through an impulsive Elliott Wave structure. With gray wave 2 completed, the index has moved into navy blue wave 1 within the broader gray wave 3 advance. This points to the early stages of a new impulse wave, potentially setting the stage for significant upside momentum.

Navy blue wave 1 typically represents the beginning of an impulse phase, marked by growing momentum and emerging market confidence. It follows gray wave 2’s correction and often displays steady movement as it establishes the trend. The current structure signals progressive upward development before the next correction begins.

After wave 1 completes, navy blue wave 2 is expected to form a temporary pullback. This correction could offer opportunities to enter before a more powerful wave 3 develops. The invalidation level at 10657 remains key—falling below it would nullify the current bullish wave interpretation and prompt a reassessment.

The daily chart highlights the potential for upward momentum to build. Wave 1 is usually less explosive than wave 3 but sets up the broader trend. Traders should observe volume increases and consistent price action to confirm trend continuation.

As this impulsive sequence unfolds, market watchers should focus on confirmation signals using price patterns and technical indicators. The broader transition into gray wave 3 implies a larger bullish phase is ahead. This current stage is crucial for positioning into a possible strong advance.

TASI Index Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend

Mode: Impulsive

Structure: Gray wave 3

Position: Orange wave 3

Direction next higher degrees: Gray wave 3 (started)

Details: Gray wave 2 appears completed; gray wave 3 is now in progress.

Wave cancel invalid level: 10657

The TASI INDEX weekly chart reflects a robust bullish trend developing through a classic impulsive Elliott Wave formation. With gray wave 2’s correction now completed, the market has entered gray wave 3 within the broader orange wave 3 progression. This suggests the beginning of the most energetic phase of the bullish sequence, often defined by sustained upward momentum and extended gains.

Gray wave 3 typically marks the most forceful segment in Elliott Wave patterns, with rapid and far-reaching price movement. With wave 2’s retracement behind us, the stage is set for this strong continuation wave, which historically outpaces wave 1 in both magnitude and duration. The current structure points to further upside as this trend matures before the next pullback emerges.

The weekly timeframe provides valuable clarity on the market’s structure, indicating this movement is part of a major uptrend. As the price advances within orange wave 3 at a higher degree, a longer-term bullish extension is likely. The invalidation level at 10657 remains essential; a drop below it would invalidate this wave count and require a fresh structural assessment.

Market participants should look for signals of strong wave 3 characteristics: rising momentum, increasing volume, and smooth progression. This is a favorable window for trend participation, though traders should remain alert for early signs of wave 3's exhaustion. Technical tools will help identify the structure's evolution and the eventual transition into gray wave 4.

The expected development after this phase is gray wave 4, providing a pullback opportunity before further continuation of the bullish trend. This current wave 3 is key for capturing high-momentum moves within the Elliott framework.

TASI Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3500 amid cautious markets

GBP/USD is oscillating around 1.3500 in the European session on Monday, supported by broad US Dollar softness. But the upside appears limited due to thin market conditions heading into the New Year holiday break. 

Gold corrects from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 in European trading on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. If the US Dollar finds renewed demand, it could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.