Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD slides below $24.00 to snap two-day uptrend as US Dollar rebounds


  • Silver takes offers to refresh intraday low during the first negative daily performance in three.
  • Mixed sentiment, firmer Treasury yields allow US Dollar to recover amid holiday season.
  • China-linked Covid optimism fails to defend XAG/USD buyers as US doubts Beijing’s transparency.

Silver price (XAG/USD) renews its intraday low near $23.95 as bears return to the table early Wednesday after a two-day absence. The bright metal’s latest weakness could be linked to the US Dollar’s mildly positive performance and doubts over China’s Covid-linked optimism.

US Dollar Index (DXY) prints mild gains around 104.25 by the press time as it defends the previous day’s recovery during the sluggish session. In doing so, the greenback’s gauge versus the six major currencies also justifies the recently mixed US data and concerns surrounding the Fed’s next moves.

US Good Trade Balance for November improved to $-83.3B versus $98.8B prior, but the US S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices for October dropped to 8.6% YoY versus 9.7% expected and 10.4% previous readings. It’s worth noting that the previously mixed readings of the US inflation and growth figures raised doubts about the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish move, especially after the US central bank appeared cautiously optimistic over the rate hikes in its latest monetary policy meeting.

Elsewhere, China announced multiple measures to open national and international boundaries in a rush to convey the easing of COVID-19 fears. In doing so, the dragon nation initially ruled out the quarantine requirement for inbound travelers before stating that the nation will resume citizens' applications for ordinary tourist passports and visits abroad from January 8, 2023. Even so, a US Official mentioned, per Reuters, that the US government may impose new COVID-19 measures on travelers to the United States from China over concerns about the "lack of transparent data" coming from Beijing.

Against this backdrop, the 10-year Treasury bond yields remain sidelined near 3.85% after refreshing the six-week high the previous day. In contrast, the S&P 500 Futures remain indecisive while tracking the mixed closing of the Wall Street benchmarks.

Given the sluggish session and a light calendar, except for the US Pending Home Sales for November, which holds the market consensus of 0.6% versus -4.6% previous readings, the Silver price is likely to extend the latest weakness amid firmer US Treasury bond yields.

Technical analysis

Although the double top formation near $24.30 lures Silver bears, the 21-DMA level near $23.30 restricts short-term XAG/USD downside.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 23.97
Today Daily Change -0.07
Today Daily Change % -0.29%
Today daily open 24.04
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 23.26
Daily SMA50 21.58
Daily SMA100 20.42
Daily SMA200 21.15
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 24.28
Previous Daily Low 23.79
Previous Weekly High 24.3
Previous Weekly Low 22.84
Previous Monthly High 22.25
Previous Monthly Low 18.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 24.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 23.98
Daily Pivot Point S1 23.79
Daily Pivot Point S2 23.55
Daily Pivot Point S3 23.3
Daily Pivot Point R1 24.29
Daily Pivot Point R2 24.53
Daily Pivot Point R3 24.78

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.0850 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD retreats toward 1.0850 on modest USD recovery

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades in negative territory at around 1.0850 after closing modestly lower on Thursday. In the absence of macroeconomic data releases, investors will continue to pay close attention to comments from Federal Reserve officials.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD holds above 1.2650 following earlier decline

GBP/USD holds above 1.2650 following earlier decline

GBP/USD edges higher after falling to a daily low below 1.2650 in the European session on Friday. The US Dollar holds its ground following the selloff seen after April inflation data and makes it difficult for the pair to extend its rebound. Fed policymakers are scheduled to speak later in the day.

GBP/USD News

Gold climbs to multi-week highs above $2,400

Gold climbs to multi-week highs above $2,400

Gold gathered bullish momentum and touched its highest level in nearly a month above $2,400. Although the benchmark 10-year US yield holds steady at around 4.4%, the cautious market stance supports XAU/USD heading into the weekend.

Gold News

Chainlink social dominance hits six-month peak as LINK extends gains

Chainlink social dominance hits six-month peak as LINK extends gains

Chainlink (LINK) social dominance increased sharply on Friday, exceeding levels seen in the past six months, along with the token’s price rally that started on Wednesday. 

Read more

Week ahead: Flash PMIs, UK and Japan CPIs in focus – RBNZ to hold rates

Week ahead: Flash PMIs, UK and Japan CPIs in focus – RBNZ to hold rates

After cool US CPI, attention shifts to UK and Japanese inflation. Flash PMIs will be watched too amid signs of a rebound in Europe. Fed to stay in the spotlight as plethora of speakers, minutes on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures