|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD cracks below $22 after US inflation report

  • Silver price faces some sell-off after US core inflation for September matched expectations.
  • The headline CPI data rose marginally as global oil prices spiked gasoline rates.
  • Silver price struggles to extend upside above the horizontal resistance plotted at $22.23.

Silver price (XAG/USD) faces selling pressure above $22 after the United States inflation report for September remained almost in line with expectations. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) grew by 0.3% as expected. The annual core CPI data softened to 4.1% from the former release of 4.3%, matching expectations.

The monthly headline CPI expanded at a higher pace of 0.4% while investors forecasted growth by 0.3%. Annualized headline inflation data remained steady at 3.7% against expectations of 3.6%. The headline CPI data rose marginally as global oil prices spiked gasoline rates and food products.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) delivered a vertical upside move after discovering strong buying interest near 105.50. The strength in the USD Index came as investors hoped that Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers could turn hawkish about the interest rate outlook. A slowdown in progress in inflation declining toward 2% could elevate the hawkish Fed bets.

Meanwhile, the S&P500 opens on a marginally positive note as the market mood is still upbeat. Investors hope that the impact of the Israel-Hamas conflict will be limited if other Middle East nations don’t intervene.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price struggles to extend upside above the horizontal resistance plotted from August 15 low at $22.23 on a two-hour scale. Earlier, the white metal delivered a strong rally after a breakout of the Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern. The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $22.00 continues to provide support to the Silver price bulls.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) trades in the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish momentum is already active.

Silver two-hour chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price22.08
Today Daily Change0.05
Today Daily Change %0.23
Today daily open22.03
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.36
Daily SMA5022.97
Daily SMA10023.34
Daily SMA20023.36
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.12
Previous Daily Low21.8
Previous Weekly High22.2
Previous Weekly Low20.68
Previous Monthly High24.82
Previous Monthly Low22.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.92
Daily Pivot Point S121.85
Daily Pivot Point S221.66
Daily Pivot Point S321.52
Daily Pivot Point R122.17
Daily Pivot Point R222.31
Daily Pivot Point R322.5

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD weakens to two-week lows near 0.6960

AUD/USD clinches its second consecutive daily pullback as market participants continue to assess the RBA’s rate hike earlier in the day. Indeed, the pair slipped back toward the 0.6960 zone, or multi-day troughs, following the less-hawkish-than-expected message from the RBA after it hiked the OCR by 25 bps, as widely anticipated.

USD/JPY fails near 159.00 amid weak USD, intervention risks

USD/JPY edges lower during Tuesday’s Asian session, reversing part of the previous day's gains to 158.00 as the US Dollar remains depressed amid hopes for Iran diplomacy and ahead of US midterm elections. Meanwhile, intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, though the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike caps gains. This keeps the pair confined within a familiar range and warrants caution before placing directional bets.


Gold struggles near $3,900 as traders assess Middle East developments,US election risks

Gold (XAU/USD) loses momentum on Tuesday as Oil prices rebound after the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported a US strike on Iran’s Qeshm Island. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $3,909, down 0.93% on the day.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP under pressure as investors pull capital

Bitcoin trades downward at $76,566 on Tuesday, testing six-week lows. Ethereum, like Bitcoin, trades under pressure as it consolidates within a narrow support range. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers marginally above $1.25.

US Dollar Index edges up within range with midterm elections front and centre

The US Dollar Index is picking up from session lows but remains within previous ranges, below 102.00. The Greenback is drawing support from hostilities in Iran and higher Oil prices, but US political uncertainty is capping gains.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.