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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD retreats from one-year peak amid overbought RSI

  • Silver gains strong positive traction on Wednesday and touches a fresh one-year top.
  • The RSI on the daily chart is flashing overbought conditions and capping the upside.
  • The technical setup still supports prospects for a further near-term appreciating move.

Silver catches aggressive bids near the $25.00 psychological mark during the early North American session and spikes to a fresh one-year high in the last hour. The white metal, however, surrenders a major part of its intraday gains and is currently placed around the $25.20-$25.15 area, still up over 0.50% for the day.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is holding above the 70.00 mark and points to extremely overbought conditions. This, in turn, is holding back bullish traders from placing fresh bets around the XAG/USD and keeping a lid on any further gains, at least for the time being. The positive technical setup, however, supports prospects for an extension of the recent appreciating move witnessed over the past month or so.

Sustained strength and acceptance above the $25.00 mark add credence to the near-term positive outlook. Some follow-through buying beyond the daily swing high, around the $25.65 region, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and set the stage for a move towards reclaiming the $26.00 mark. The XAG/USD could climb further towards the $26.40-$26.50 intermediate resistance en route to the 2022 top, just ahead of the $27.00 mark.

On the flip side, any meaningful pullback might continue to attract fresh buyers near the $25.00 psychological mark. This should help limit the downside for the XAG/USD near the $24.30-$24.40 resistance breakpoint, now turned support. That said, a convincing break below could make the commodity vulnerable to weaken below the $24.00 mark and test the $23.60-$23.55 support before dropping to the $23.15 zone en route to the $23.00 mark.

Silver 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price25.45
Today Daily Change0.40
Today Daily Change %1.60
Today daily open25.05
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.43
Daily SMA5022.34
Daily SMA10022.8
Daily SMA20021.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.14
Previous Daily Low24.84
Previous Weekly High25.14
Previous Weekly Low23.57
Previous Monthly High24.16
Previous Monthly Low19.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%25.02
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%24.95
Daily Pivot Point S124.88
Daily Pivot Point S224.71
Daily Pivot Point S324.58
Daily Pivot Point R125.18
Daily Pivot Point R225.31
Daily Pivot Point R325.48

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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