|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bulls have the upper hand above $22.00/200-hour SMA

  • Silver finds support near $22.00 and stalls this week’s pullback from a multi-month high.
  • The technical set-up favours bullish traders and supports prospects for additional gains.
  • A sustained break below $21.00 will negate the near-term positive bias for the XAG/USD.

Silver attracts fresh buyers on Wednesday and steadily climbs back closer to the mid-$22.00s during the mid-European session.

Looking at the broader picture, this week's sharp retracement slide from the highest level since late April stalls near the $22.00 round-figure mark. The said handle coincides with the 200-hour SMA and should act as a pivotal point, which if broken decisively will set the stage for a deeper corrective decline.

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the fall towards the $21.40 support zone. This is closely followed by the very important 200-day SMA, around the $21.30-$21.25 region, and the $21.00 mark. The latter should act as a strong base for spot prices, which if broken decisively will negate the near-term positive outlook.

That said, oscillators on the daily chart are holding comfortably in the bullish territory and have again started gaining positive traction on hourly charts. This, in turn, supports prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying at lower levels, which should help limit any meaningful near-term fall for the XAG/USD.

Meanwhile, any subsequent move up beyond the overnight swing high, around the $22.60 area, is likely to confront stiff resistance near the $23.00 mark. A sustained strength beyond should lift the XAG/USD to the multi-month peak, around the $23.50-$23.55 zone. Some follow-through buying should pave the way for additional gains.

Bulls might then aim to reclaim the $24.00 round-figure mark for the first time since April. The positive momentum could get extended and lift the XAG/USD further towards the next relevant hurdle around the $24.25-$24.30 zone en route to the $24.55-$24.60 region.

Silver 1-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price22.4
Today Daily Change0.20
Today Daily Change %0.90
Today daily open22.2
 
Trends
Daily SMA2021.62
Daily SMA5020.38
Daily SMA10019.83
Daily SMA20021.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.61
Previous Daily Low22.03
Previous Weekly High23.24
Previous Weekly Low20.87
Previous Monthly High22.25
Previous Monthly Low18.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.25
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.39
Daily Pivot Point S121.95
Daily Pivot Point S221.7
Daily Pivot Point S321.37
Daily Pivot Point R122.53
Daily Pivot Point R222.86
Daily Pivot Point R323.11

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.