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Powell speech: Very difficult to manage the risk of doing too little on rates

FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell comments on the policy outlook after the Federal Reserve's decision to raise the policy rate by 25 basis points to the range of 4.5-4.75% following the first policy meeting of 2023.

Key quotes

"Very difficult to manage the risk of doing too little on rates."

"We don't want inflation springing back."

"We have no desire to overtighten, but we have tools that would work on that if we do."

"It would be very premature to declare victory on inflation."

"Until we see all aspects of inflation coming down, we still have a lot of work to do."

"We can now say for first time that disinflationary process has started, we see it in goods sector."

"But that's around 1/4 of the PCE Price Index."

"We see disinflation in the pipeline for housing."

"We expect to see that disinflation process will be seen soon in the core services ex-housing, but we don't see it yet."

"Labor market will probably important to bring that aspect of inflation down."

"We're talking about a couple more rate hikes to get to appropriately restrictive stance."

"We are not very far from that level."

"Policy is restrictive, trying to judge about how much is restrictive enough."

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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