NZD/USD technical analysis: 100-HMA, declining channel challenge bullish MACD

  • One-week-old descending trend-channel, 100-HMA limit immediate upside despite bullish MACD.
  • 0.6405 offers near-term strong support ahead of current month low.

Despite a bullish signal by the key technical indicator, the NZD/USD pair remains below adjacent resistances while it trades near 0.6440 during early Thursday.

The 0.6457/60 becomes the key resistance-confluence, including 100-hour moving average (HMA) and one-week-old falling channel, for buyers to watch if they prefer bullish signal by the 12-bar moving average convergence and divergence (MACD) indicator.

It should, however, be noted that pair’s rally past-0.6460 can trigger fresh rise targeting 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6510 whereas August 07 high near 0.6560 can please buyers afterward.

Alternatively, 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of 0.6428 and channel support figure of 0.6405 could keep sellers at bay.

In a case where prices slip under 0.6405, month’s low near 0.6378 gain market attention.

NZD/USD hourly chart

Trend: Bearish

    1. R3 0.6511 
    2. R2 0.6491 
    3. R1 0.6462 
  1. PP 0.6442 
    1. S1 0.6413
    2. S2  0.6393
    3. S3  0.6364


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