|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bears eye a retracement opportunity

  • NZD/USD bulls are taking on major resistance as the greenback falters. 
  • Bulls eye a break of recent highs but bears are lurking. 

NZD/USD has come up into a major resistance and it begs the question as to whether the bulls will stay the course as we head into critical events on both the United States and New Zealand's calendar. 

The following illustrates the recent surge higher on the back of the US Dollar'ssoftness and the prospects of a meanwhile correction for the sessions ahead. 

NZD/USD daily chart

As illustrated, the Kiwi has bottomed leaving behind a W-formation:

The price is meeting a daily trendline resistance and has left the harmonic pattern as a reversion prospect to 0.6200:

DXY index

Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under pressure still while below its own resistance trendline:

The US Dollar index bottomed around the 102 neighbourhood despite global and US recession concerns. Nonetheless, the prospects of a less aggressive Federal Reserve have spooked investors away from the greenback. Unless the bulls can get on the backside of the trend, there are serious prospects of a blow-off that could properly the Kiwi much higher. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high, trades below $4,400

Gold retreats sharply from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and trades below $4,400, losing more than 3% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to stay under heavy bearish pressure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.