|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Bears eye a retracement opportunity

  • NZD/USD bulls are taking on major resistance as the greenback falters. 
  • Bulls eye a break of recent highs but bears are lurking. 

NZD/USD has come up into a major resistance and it begs the question as to whether the bulls will stay the course as we head into critical events on both the United States and New Zealand's calendar. 

The following illustrates the recent surge higher on the back of the US Dollar'ssoftness and the prospects of a meanwhile correction for the sessions ahead. 

NZD/USD daily chart

As illustrated, the Kiwi has bottomed leaving behind a W-formation:

The price is meeting a daily trendline resistance and has left the harmonic pattern as a reversion prospect to 0.6200:

DXY index

Meanwhile, the US Dollar is under pressure still while below its own resistance trendline:

The US Dollar index bottomed around the 102 neighbourhood despite global and US recession concerns. Nonetheless, the prospects of a less aggressive Federal Reserve have spooked investors away from the greenback. Unless the bulls can get on the backside of the trend, there are serious prospects of a blow-off that could properly the Kiwi much higher. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.