|

NZD/USD looks to build on strong NZ CPI-led gains beyond 0.5700 amid weaker USD

  • A combination of supporting factors pushes NZD/USD higher for the second straight day.
  • Hotter-than-expected domestic consumer inflation figures boost the New Zealand dollar.
  • A softer US bond yields, the risk-on impulse weighs on the USD and remains supportive.

The NZD/USD pair hits a one-and-half-week high during the first half of trading on Tuesday, with bulls now awaiting sustained strength beyond the 0.5700 round-figure mark.

A combination of factors allows the NZD/USD pair to gain strong follow-through traction for the second successive day and recover further from its lowest level since March 2020 touched last week. The New Zealand dollar gets a strong boost from hotter domestic consumer inflation figures, which smashed estimates and lifted bets for a more aggressive rate hike by the RBNZ. Apart from this, the prevalent US dollar selling bias further contributes to the ongoing positive move.

In fact, the USD Index, which measures the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, drops to over a one-week low amid a softer tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields. Apart from this, the risk-on impulse exerts additional downward pressure on the safe-haven buck and benefits the risk-sensitive kiwi. With the latest leg up, the NZD/USD pair seems to have confirmed a bullish breakout through the 0.5650 supply zone and seems poised to appreciate further.

That said, a combination of factors might hold back bulls from placing aggressive bets and keep a lid on any meaningful upside. Concerns about the economic headwinds stemming from rapidly rising borrowing costs, geopolitical risks and China's zero-COVID policy could cap the optimistic move in the markets. Furthermore, growing acceptance that the Fed will continue to hike interest rates at a faster pace should act as a tailwind for the USD. This, in turn, warrants caution for bullish traders.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of Industrial Production data and Capacity Utilization Rate later during the early North American session. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, will influence the USD price dynamics and provide some impetus to the NZD/USD pair. The focus will then turn to important macro data from China, due for release during the Asian session on Wednesday.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5694
Today Daily Change0.0066
Today Daily Change %1.17
Today daily open0.5628
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5689
Daily SMA500.5976
Daily SMA1000.6129
Daily SMA2000.641
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.565
Previous Daily Low0.5551
Previous Weekly High0.573
Previous Weekly Low0.5512
Previous Monthly High0.6162
Previous Monthly Low0.5565
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5612
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5589
Daily Pivot Point S10.557
Daily Pivot Point S20.5511
Daily Pivot Point S30.5471
Daily Pivot Point R10.5669
Daily Pivot Point R20.5709
Daily Pivot Point R30.5767

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.