NZD/USD: downside finally playing out, target 0.68 medium term

Ross J Burland FXStreet

Currently, NZD/USD is trading at 0.7129, down -0.13% on the day, having posted a daily high at 0.7142 and low at 0.7123.

Fed's Beige Book: Majority of Fed districts described labor markets as tight

NZD/USD dropped today on the back of Yellen's hawkishness and broad based dollar strength that has come back into play ahead of Trump's inauguration.

Analysts at Westpac explained that it appears to have found a short term peak just above 0.72 while on the downside NZD should find some intraday support around 0.7150.

Fed's Yellen expects rates to be close to longer-run neutral rate of 3 pct by end of 2019

NZD/USD 1-3 month:

The analysts expect the kiwi to drop lower to 0.6800 in the medium term. "The US dollar has had an impressive rise since the US election and has potential to rise further during the months ahead. The Fed’s assertive tightening projections plus US fiscal expansion should maintain upside pressure on US interest rates and the US dollar. Against that, the NZ economy is strong and dairy prices have risen, but these forces are subservient to the US dollar’s trend."

NZD/USD levels

Spot is presently trading at 0.7130, and next resistance can be seen at 0.7130 (Daily Classic S1), 0.7132 (Yesterday's Low), 0.7139 (Daily Open), 0.7141 (Hourly 100 SMA) and 0.7142 (Daily High). Support below can be found at 0.7123 (Daily Low), 0.7089 (Daily 200 SMA), 0.7077 (Hourly 200 SMA), 0.7073 (Weekly Classic PP) and 0.7056 (Daily Classic S2).

1 Week
1 Month
1 Quarter

1 Week

Avg Forecast 0.7126

50% Bullish
20% Bearish
30% Sideways

Bias Bullish

1 Month

Avg Forecast 0.6982

7% Bullish
79% Bearish
14% Sideways

Bias Bearish

1 Quarter

Avg Forecast 0.6831

6% Bullish
71% Bearish
24% Sideways

Bias Bearish

Author

Ross J Burland

FXStreet

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

EUR/USD trims gains, hovers around 1.1900 post-US data

EUR/USD trades slightly on the back foot around the 1.1900 region in a context dominated by the resurgence of some buying interest around the US Dollar on turnaround Tuesday. Looking at the US docket, Retail Sales disappointed expectations in December, while the ADP 4-Week Average came in at 6.5K.

GBP/USD comes under pressure near 1.3680

The better tone in the Greenback hurts the risk-linked complex on Tuesday, prompting GBP/USD to set aside two consecutive days of gains and trade slightly on the defensive below the 1.3700 mark. Investors, in the meantime, keep their attention on key UK data due later in the week.

Gold loses some traction, still above $5,000

Gold faces some selling pressure on Tuesday, surrendering part of its recent two-day advance although managing to keep the trade above the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The daily pullback in the precious metal comes in response to the modest rebound in the US Dollar, while declining US Treasury yields across the curve seem to limit the downside.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.

Dollar drops and stocks rally: The week of reckoning for US economic data

Following a sizeable move lower in US technology Stocks last week, we have witnessed a meaningful recovery unfold. The USD Index is in a concerning position; the monthly price continues to hold the south channel support.

Bitcoin Cash trades lower, risks dead-cat bounce amid bearish signals

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) trades in the red below $522 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after multiple rejections at key resistance. BCH’s derivatives and on-chain indicators point to growing bearish sentiment and raise the risk of a dead-cat bounce toward lower support levels.