|

NZD/USD climbs back closer to 0.6400 mark, multi-month high ahead of US NFP report

  • NZD/USD gains traction for the fourth successive day amid the prevalent USD selling bias.
  • The Fed’s dovish pivot keeps the US bond yields depressed and weighs on the greenback.
  • The cautious market mood could cap the risk-sensitive Kiwi ahead of the US NFP report.

The NZD/USD pair attracts fresh buying on the last day of the week and maintains its bid tone through the early European session. This marks the fourth straight day of a positive move and lifts spot prices closer to the highest level since mid-August touched on Thursday. Bulls now await a sustained strength beyond the 0.6400 mark amid the prevalent US Dollar selling bias.y

The USD Index, which measures the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, languishes near a multi-month low amid the recent dovish signals from the Federal Reserve officials. In fact, Fed Chair Jerome Powell sent a clear message on Wednesday that the US central bank will soften its stance and said that it was time to slow the pace of interest rate hikes. Apart from this, signs of easing inflationary pressure and sluggish US Treasury bond yields continue to weigh on the greenback.

On Thursday, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index slowed to 6% YoY in October from 6.3% previous. Adding to this, the annual Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, edged down to 5% from 5.2% as expected. The softer data dragged the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government to a nearly two-month low. That said, the cautious mood could limit losses for the safe-haven USD and cap the risk-sensitive Kiwi.

Furthermore, traders also seem reluctant to place aggressive bets and prefer to move to the sidelines ahead of the closely-watched US monthly employment details. The popularly known NFP report, due later during the early North American session, will influence the near-term USD price dynamics. Apart from this, the broader risk sentiment should provide a fresh impetus to the NZD/USD pair. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register gains for the seventh successive week.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6391
Today Daily Change0.0017
Today Daily Change %0.27
Today daily open0.6374
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6131
Daily SMA500.5873
Daily SMA1000.6025
Daily SMA2000.6292
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.64
Previous Daily Low0.6233
Previous Weekly High0.629
Previous Weekly Low0.6087
Previous Monthly High0.6314
Previous Monthly Low0.5741
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6336
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6297
Daily Pivot Point S10.6271
Daily Pivot Point S20.6168
Daily Pivot Point S30.6103
Daily Pivot Point R10.6439
Daily Pivot Point R20.6503
Daily Pivot Point R30.6606

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.