NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Uptrend capped at the 200-DMA retreats to 77.30 as bulls take a breather


  • The NZD/JPY advances as the North American session winds down, up some 0.25%.
  • The market sentiment is downbeat, as US equity indices finished in the red.
  • NZD/JPY upward move stalled at the 200-DMA, but NZD bulls remain in charge.

The NZD/JPY retreats from weekly tops after inflation in the United States reaches 7.5%, a level last seen in August 1982, causing a sell-off in the US equity markets amid a risk-off market mood. Despite the aforementioned, the NZD/JPY clings to gains, trading at 77.41 at the time of writing.

During the North American session, financial markets have been volatile. High elevated prices, reported by the US Labor department, increased the odds of the US central bank’s 50 bps rate hike. Initially, the US Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback’s value against its peer, shot through the roof, followed by a fall to the 95.40 area for a 0.20% loss. 

However, in the last hour, the DXY rebounded, sitting at 95.60, aligned with higher US Treasury yields, led by the 10-year benchmark note at 2.052%, a gain of twelve basis points.

NZD/JPY Price Forecast. Technical outlook

Putting those factors aside, the NZD/JPY initially broke upwards, but the move stalled at the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 77.98, followed by a drop to the February 9 daily high at 77.30.

That said, the NZD/JPY first resistance would be the 200-DMA at 77.98. Breach of the latter would expose the 100-DMA at 78.36, followed by the January 5 swing high at 79.22.

On the flip side, the NZD/JPY first support is 77.30. Once cleared, the next support would be the 77.00 figure, followed by the February 9 daily low at 76.65.

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 77.41
Today Daily Change 0.19
Today Daily Change % 0.25
Today daily open 77.22
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 76.67
Daily SMA50 77.27
Daily SMA100 78.42
Daily SMA200 78.04
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 77.32
Previous Daily Low 76.67
Previous Weekly High 76.78
Previous Weekly Low 75.44
Previous Monthly High 79.24
Previous Monthly Low 75.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 77.07
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 76.91
Daily Pivot Point S1 76.82
Daily Pivot Point S2 76.42
Daily Pivot Point S3 76.17
Daily Pivot Point R1 77.47
Daily Pivot Point R2 77.72
Daily Pivot Point R3 78.12

 

 

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