|

NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Pierces three-week-old resistance below 84.00 on RBNZ’s hawkish surprise

  • NZD/JPY takes a U-turn from the key EMAs to renew multi-day top after RBNZ move.
  • RBNZ surprises markets by announcing 0.50% rate hike, the 11th consecutive rate increase.
  • Given the sustained bounce of the 50-EMA, 200-EMA, backed by upbeat RSI, the bulls are likely to keep the reins.

NZD/JPY rises to 83.86 as it pokes a three-week-long resistance line on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) 11th rate hike during early Wednesday. In doing so, the cross-currency pair also portrays a clear rebound from the 50 and 200 Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).

That said, the RBNZ surpasses market forecasts while announcing 50 basis points (bps) worth increase to its Official Cash Rate (OCR), lifting it to 5.25% from 4.75% prior. It’s worth noting that the RBNZ Minutes stated that the policymakers also discussed a 25 bps rate hike and hence prod the pair buyers of late.

Also read: Breaking: RBNZ raises rates by 50 bps to 5.25% in April, hawkish surprise

Even so, a successful rebound from the key EMAs joins the upbeat RSI (14) to allow the NZD/JPY buyers in poking a downward-sloping resistance line from mid-March, around 83.85 by the press time.

It’s worth noting that the March 15 high of near 84.10 can act as an extra filter towards the north for the NZD/JPY buyers before directing them to the previous monthly high of 85.33.

Meanwhile, pullback moves remain elusive unless the quote stays beyond the 50-EMA level of 82.80.

Following that, multiple supports near 81.50 and March’s bottom of around 80.45 can test the NZD/JPY bears ahead of highlighting the 80.00 psychological magnet.

NZD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price82.91
Today Daily Change-0.18
Today Daily Change %-0.22%
Today daily open83.09
 
Trends
Daily SMA2082.57
Daily SMA5083.38
Daily SMA10084.19
Daily SMA20084.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High83.82
Previous Daily Low82.85
Previous Weekly High83.82
Previous Weekly Low80.93
Previous Monthly High85.33
Previous Monthly Low80.44
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%83.22
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%83.45
Daily Pivot Point S182.68
Daily Pivot Point S282.28
Daily Pivot Point S381.71
Daily Pivot Point R183.65
Daily Pivot Point R284.22
Daily Pivot Point R384.63

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in Europe trading on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.