|

No end on sight for the bearish phase in AUD/USD – UOB

According to FX Strategists at UOB Group, the bearish phase in the Aussie Dollar remains well in place.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “AUD extended its recent weakness as it hit a ‘fresh’ low of 0.7224, just a few pips above the strong 0.7220 support. Despite the decline, we do not detect a significant improvement in downward momentum. However, a dip below 0.7220 appears likely but a break of 0.7190 today would come as a surprise (there is another major support at 0.7160). Resistance is at 0.7260 followed by 0.7290”.

Next 1-3 weeks: “We turned bearish AUD on Monday (13 Aug, spot at 0.7285) with an immediate ‘target’ of 0.7220 and were of the view that the “odds for further extension to 0.7160 are relatively high”. There is no change to our view as AUD dropped to an overnight low of 0.7224 and a break of 0.7220 would open up the way for a move to 0.7160. To put it another way, there is no indication that the current bearish phase is ending soon and only a break of the ‘stop-loss’ at 0.7330 (level previously at 0.7380) would suggest that a short-term low is in place”.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD looks inconclusive near 1.1420

EUR/USD trades in a tight range in the low 1.1400s on Tuesday, struggling to gain momentum amid an equally absence of clear direction in the US Dollar (USD). Uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict is capping the pair’s upside, while traders avoid taking significant positions ahead of Thursday’s ECB gathering.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold gains ground on Tuesday, reversing Monday’s pessimism and advancing toward the $4,100 mark per troy ounce. Nevertheless, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.