According to Economist Enrico Tanuwidjaja at UOB Group, Indonesia is likely to clinch a current account surplus this year.
Key Takeaways
“Indonesia’s current account balance reversed into a surplus of USD 4.5bn (1.5% of GDP), after posting a deficit of USD 2.2bn (-0.7% of GDP). As such, Indonesia’s also posted a balance of payment (BOP) surplus of USD 10.7bn in 3Q21, after a deficit of USD 0.4bn in 2Q21.”
“Indonesia’s trade balance hit a record high in October and reached USD5.7bn vs. USD4.4bn in the previous month, amidst faster pace of imports, notably for raw-auxiliary goods. Imports jumped to 51.1% y/y in October vs. 40.3% y/y in September. Meanwhile, exports rose 53.4% y/y in October vs. 47.6% y/y in September.”
“The capital and financial account (which records trade in assets between Indonesians and foreign counterparts) posted a larger surplus of USD6.1bn in 3Q21 (2.0% of GDP).”
“Portfolio investments maintained net inflows of USD 1.1bn, slightly lower than USD 4.4bn in the previous quarter in line with global uncertainty due to the spread of virus Covid-19 new variant in several countries.”
“For the first time ever since the past decade, in 2021 we expect Indonesia to record a current account surplus and reversed the persistent deficit position from several years in a row since the commodity bust back in late 2011-early 2012. We forecast Indonesia CA to record a surplus of 0.2% of GDP, primarily underpinned by the growth in exports.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE
EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.
GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.
Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation
Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses.
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.