• GOOG stock (Alphabet / Google) has been in a very strong bullish trend. The uptrend is valid since price action made a deep dip in March 2020 because of Covid.

  • The 21 emas have been a strong support ever since price action made a dip one year ago - with the exception of the pullback during September 2020. 

  • Price action is expected to either make a bullish breakout (green arrows) or build a pullback towards the Fibonacci levels (orange arrow) and bounce (blue arrow).

Currently price action is showing another pauze. Is the chart ready for a reversal or will the uptrend persist?

GOOG

Price charts and technical analysis

The GOOG stock is building a consolidation zone at the 21 ema support zone. 

The 21 emas have been a strong support ever since price action made a dip one year ago - with the exception of the pullback during September 2020. Let’s review:

  1. The consolidation zone is probably a wave 4 correction (orange).

  2. Waves 4 usually respect shallow Fibonacci levels like the 23.6%, 38.2% or max 50% Fib.

  3. A bullish breakout (green arrows) indicates an immediate uptrend continuation within the wave 5 (grey) within wave 3 (pink).

  4. The next target is located at the round level of $2,250.

  5. A bearish breakout (orange arrow) indicates a deeper pullback. The main target is the 38.2% Fib.

  6. The 38.2% or 50% is likely to act as support and send price action up again (blue arrow) within the larger uptrend.

  7. Only a break below the 61.8% Fib places the uptrend on hold (yellow circle).

  8. Whereas a very deep pullback invalidates the current uptrend (red circle).

On the 4 hour chart, there are two wave variants added. 

One shows a wave 1-5 (orange) completed at the recent high within wave 5 (grey) in wave 3 (pink). The other scenario is that price is now in a wave 4’ (orange) pullback. 

In any case, price action is expected to either make a bullish breakout (green arrows) or build a pullback towards the Fibonacci levels (orange arrow) and bounce (blue arrow).

GOOG


The analysis has been done with the ecs.SWAT method and ebook.

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