Gold: Strong near multi-year top amid upbeat safe-haven demand

Gold holds the top spot in buyers list as the US treasury yields trigger global recession fears.
Mixed signals from trade/political headlines also add to the safe-haven demand.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

With the fears of global economic slowdown acquiring the front seat of the market story, Gold takes the bids to $1521 heading into the European session on Thursday.

Not only inversion of the US 10-year to two-year Treasury yields but record low yields of 30-year notes also question market optimism surrounding latest turn in the US-China trade relation.

Mostly cited reason for investors’ rush to risk-safety targets disappointing activity numbers from China and the EU while Hong Kong political plays and global easy monetary policy adds to the line. Challenging the move is the Reuters’ news that Chinese imports of Gold have are likely down by 300-500 tonnes since May 2019.

Traders may now look forward to the busy economic calendar comprising the US/UK Retail Sales, the US Industrial Production, Initial Jobless Claims and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey.

The US President Donald Trump’s reaction to the latest criticism from Hong Kong and further action on a trade deal with China will also keep investors busy during the day.

Technical Analysis

FXStreet Analyst, Ross J. Burland, expects further increase in the yellow metal’s prices to fresh 2019 high:

The price of the yellow metal has fliped back in a bullish trend, reversing losses seen in the prior session. The trend has been in development since a break above the 1450s and has been moving higher for the best part of August. The 1500 level was penetrated to 1480 in recent sessions but the bulls committed for a continuation, to the upside. From here, the 1528/30s come as a prior support area where the price was to be expected to hold initial tests. However, on a full-on break higher, bulls will look to the 127.2% Fibo target which is located around 1,560, guarding the Oct 2012 highs at 1795.

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold rebounds and retargets $4,400

Gold regains composure and trades with decent gains on Friday, managing to refocus in attention to the $4,440 mark per ounce troy. Therefore, the precious metal reverses Thursday’s decline amid a marginal retracement in the US Dollar after the release of August inflation print.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP extends decline as returning ETF inflows fail to lift outlook

Ripple (XRP) falls below $1.33 on Friday, marking the third consecutive day of declines. The token continues to track the broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with investors closely monitoring heightened macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.

Weekly focus – The hawks set the tone

Risky assets came under pressure this week as energy prices kept creeping higher and the ECB surprised the markets with a hawkish tone. The price of Brent crude touched USD 110 per barrel on Thursday night, highest since mid-May, as news emerged that the Yemeni Houthis had reached control of key port cities and islands near the Bab el-Mandeb strait.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight

The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.